Crucix — agent with dashboard, delta engine, Telegram/Discord bots

This commit is contained in:
calesthio
2026-03-14 00:35:31 -07:00
parent ef2c6470fb
commit 3674fcb4f7
23 changed files with 2143 additions and 226 deletions

549
lib/alerts/discord.mjs Normal file
View File

@@ -0,0 +1,549 @@
// Discord Alerter — Multi-tier alerts + slash commands via discord.js
// Mirrors TelegramAlerter architecture: same eval logic, same tier system, same dedup
import { createHash } from 'crypto';
// ─── Alert Tiers (shared with Telegram) ─────────────────────────────────────
const TIER_CONFIG = {
FLASH: { color: 0xFF0000, label: 'FLASH', cooldownMs: 5 * 60 * 1000, maxPerHour: 6 },
PRIORITY: { color: 0xFFAA00, label: 'PRIORITY', cooldownMs: 30 * 60 * 1000, maxPerHour: 4 },
ROUTINE: { color: 0x3498DB, label: 'ROUTINE', cooldownMs: 60 * 60 * 1000, maxPerHour: 2 },
};
// Slash command definitions for Discord's API
const SLASH_COMMANDS = [
{ name: 'status', description: 'System health, last sweep time, source status' },
{ name: 'sweep', description: 'Trigger a manual sweep cycle' },
{ name: 'brief', description: 'Compact intelligence summary' },
{ name: 'portfolio', description: 'Portfolio status (if Alpaca connected)' },
{ name: 'alerts', description: 'Recent alert history' },
{ name: 'mute', description: 'Mute alerts (default 1h)',
options: [{ name: 'hours', description: 'Hours to mute (default: 1)', type: 10, required: false }] },
{ name: 'unmute', description: 'Resume alerts' },
];
export class DiscordAlerter {
constructor({ botToken, channelId, guildId, webhookUrl }) {
this.botToken = botToken;
this.channelId = channelId;
this.guildId = guildId; // Server ID for slash command registration
this.webhookUrl = webhookUrl; // Fallback: webhook-only mode (no bot needed)
this._client = null;
this._alertHistory = [];
this._contentHashes = {};
this._muteUntil = null;
this._commandHandlers = {};
this._ready = false;
}
get isConfigured() {
return !!(this.botToken && this.channelId) || !!this.webhookUrl;
}
// ─── Bot Lifecycle ──────────────────────────────────────────────────────
/**
* Start the Discord bot. Connects to the gateway, registers slash commands,
* and begins listening for interactions.
*/
async start() {
if (!this.isConfigured) return;
try {
// Dynamic import — discord.js is optional, only loaded if configured
const { Client, GatewayIntentBits, REST, Routes, EmbedBuilder, SlashCommandBuilder } = await import('discord.js');
this._EmbedBuilder = EmbedBuilder;
this._client = new Client({
intents: [GatewayIntentBits.Guilds],
});
// Register slash commands
await this._registerCommands(REST, Routes, SlashCommandBuilder);
// Handle slash command interactions
this._client.on('interactionCreate', async (interaction) => {
if (!interaction.isChatInputCommand()) return;
await this._handleCommand(interaction);
});
// Connect
await this._client.login(this.botToken);
this._client.once('ready', () => {
this._ready = true;
console.log(`[Discord] Bot online as ${this._client.user.tag}`);
});
} catch (err) {
if (err.code === 'MODULE_NOT_FOUND' || err.message?.includes('Cannot find')) {
console.warn('[Discord] discord.js not installed. Run: npm install discord.js');
console.warn('[Discord] Falling back to webhook-only mode (if DISCORD_WEBHOOK_URL is set).');
} else {
console.error('[Discord] Failed to start bot:', err.message);
}
}
}
/**
* Stop the bot gracefully.
*/
async stop() {
if (this._client) {
this._client.destroy();
this._client = null;
this._ready = false;
console.log('[Discord] Bot disconnected');
}
}
// ─── Slash Command Registration ─────────────────────────────────────────
async _registerCommands(REST, Routes, SlashCommandBuilder) {
const rest = new REST({ version: '10' }).setToken(this.botToken);
const commands = SLASH_COMMANDS.map(cmd => {
const builder = new SlashCommandBuilder()
.setName(cmd.name)
.setDescription(cmd.description);
if (cmd.options) {
for (const opt of cmd.options) {
if (opt.type === 10) { // NUMBER
builder.addNumberOption(o =>
o.setName(opt.name).setDescription(opt.description).setRequired(opt.required ?? false)
);
}
}
}
return builder.toJSON();
});
try {
if (this.guildId) {
// Guild commands (instant, for development)
await rest.put(Routes.applicationGuildCommands(this._client?.user?.id || 'me', this.guildId), { body: commands });
console.log(`[Discord] Registered ${commands.length} guild slash commands`);
} else {
// Global commands (can take up to 1h to propagate)
const appId = this._client?.application?.id;
if (appId) {
await rest.put(Routes.applicationCommands(appId), { body: commands });
console.log(`[Discord] Registered ${commands.length} global slash commands`);
}
}
} catch (err) {
console.error('[Discord] Failed to register slash commands:', err.message);
}
}
// ─── Command Handling ───────────────────────────────────────────────────
/**
* Register a command handler.
* @param {string} name - command name (without /)
* @param {Function} handler - async (args) => responseText
*/
onCommand(name, handler) {
this._commandHandlers[name.toLowerCase()] = handler;
}
async _handleCommand(interaction) {
const name = interaction.commandName;
// Built-in commands
if (name === 'mute') {
const hours = interaction.options.getNumber('hours') || 1;
this._muteUntil = Date.now() + hours * 60 * 60 * 1000;
await interaction.reply({
embeds: [this._embed('Alerts Muted', `Alerts silenced for ${hours}h — until ${new Date(this._muteUntil).toLocaleTimeString()} UTC.\nUse \`/unmute\` to resume.`, 0x95A5A6)],
ephemeral: true,
});
return;
}
if (name === 'unmute') {
this._muteUntil = null;
await interaction.reply({
embeds: [this._embed('Alerts Resumed', 'You will receive the next signal evaluation.', 0x2ECC71)],
ephemeral: true,
});
return;
}
if (name === 'alerts') {
const recent = this._alertHistory.slice(-10);
if (recent.length === 0) {
await interaction.reply({ content: 'No recent alerts.', ephemeral: true });
return;
}
const tierEmoji = { FLASH: '🔴', PRIORITY: '🟡', ROUTINE: '🔵' };
const lines = recent.map(a =>
`${tierEmoji[a.tier] || '⚪'} **${a.tier}** — ${new Date(a.timestamp).toLocaleTimeString()}`
);
await interaction.reply({
embeds: [this._embed(`Recent Alerts (${recent.length})`, lines.join('\n'), 0x3498DB)],
ephemeral: true,
});
return;
}
// Delegate to registered handlers
const handler = this._commandHandlers[name];
if (handler) {
await interaction.deferReply({ ephemeral: true });
try {
const args = interaction.options.getString('input') || '';
const response = await handler(args);
if (response) {
// If response is long, send as embed; otherwise plain text
if (response.length > 200) {
await interaction.editReply({ embeds: [this._embed('Crucix', response, 0x00E5FF)] });
} else {
await interaction.editReply({ content: response });
}
} else {
await interaction.editReply({ content: 'Done.' });
}
} catch (err) {
console.error(`[Discord] Command /${name} error:`, err.message);
await interaction.editReply({ content: `Command failed: ${err.message}` });
}
} else {
await interaction.reply({ content: `Unknown command: /${name}`, ephemeral: true });
}
}
// ─── Sending Messages ───────────────────────────────────────────────────
/**
* Send a message to the configured channel.
* Works with the bot client or falls back to webhook URL.
*/
async sendMessage(content, embeds = []) {
if (!this.isConfigured) return false;
// Try bot client first
if (this._ready && this._client) {
try {
const channel = await this._client.channels.fetch(this.channelId);
if (channel) {
await channel.send({ content: content || undefined, embeds });
return true;
}
} catch (err) {
console.error('[Discord] Send via bot failed:', err.message);
}
}
// Fallback: webhook URL
if (this.webhookUrl) {
return this._sendWebhook(this.webhookUrl, content, embeds);
}
console.warn('[Discord] Cannot send — bot not ready and no webhook URL configured');
return false;
}
async _sendWebhook(url, content, embeds) {
try {
const body = {};
if (content) body.content = content;
if (embeds?.length > 0) {
body.embeds = embeds.map(e => e.toJSON ? e.toJSON() : e);
}
const res = await fetch(url, {
method: 'POST',
headers: { 'Content-Type': 'application/json' },
body: JSON.stringify(body),
signal: AbortSignal.timeout(15000),
});
if (!res.ok) {
const err = await res.text().catch(() => '');
console.error(`[Discord] Webhook failed (${res.status}): ${err.substring(0, 200)}`);
return false;
}
return true;
} catch (err) {
console.error('[Discord] Webhook error:', err.message);
return false;
}
}
// Backward-compatible alias
async sendAlert(message) {
return this.sendMessage(message);
}
// ─── Multi-Tier Alert Evaluation ────────────────────────────────────────
// Identical logic to TelegramAlerter — shared eval pipeline
async evaluateAndAlert(llmProvider, delta, memory) {
if (!this.isConfigured) return false;
if (!delta?.summary?.totalChanges) return false;
if (this._isMuted()) {
console.log('[Discord] Alerts muted until', new Date(this._muteUntil).toLocaleTimeString());
return false;
}
const allSignals = [
...(delta.signals?.new || []),
...(delta.signals?.escalated || []),
];
const newSignals = allSignals.filter(s => {
const key = this._signalKey(s);
if (typeof memory.isSignalSuppressed === 'function') {
if (memory.isSignalSuppressed(key)) return false;
} else {
const alerted = memory.getAlertedSignals();
if (alerted[key]) return false;
}
if (this._isSemanticDuplicate(s)) return false;
return true;
});
if (newSignals.length === 0) return false;
// LLM evaluation with rule-based fallback (reuse from Telegram)
let evaluation = null;
if (llmProvider?.isConfigured) {
try {
const { TelegramAlerter } = await import('./telegram.mjs');
const tgInstance = new TelegramAlerter({ botToken: null, chatId: null });
const systemPrompt = tgInstance._buildEvaluationPrompt();
const userMessage = tgInstance._buildSignalContext(newSignals, delta);
const result = await llmProvider.complete(systemPrompt, userMessage, { maxTokens: 800, timeout: 30000 });
evaluation = parseJSON(result.text);
} catch (err) {
console.warn('[Discord] LLM evaluation failed, falling back to rules:', err.message);
}
}
if (!evaluation || typeof evaluation.shouldAlert !== 'boolean') {
evaluation = this._ruleBasedEvaluation(newSignals, delta);
if (evaluation) evaluation._source = 'rules';
}
if (!evaluation?.shouldAlert) {
console.log('[Discord] No alert —', evaluation?.reason || 'no qualifying signals');
return false;
}
const tier = TIER_CONFIG[evaluation.tier] ? evaluation.tier : 'ROUTINE';
if (!this._checkRateLimit(tier)) {
console.log(`[Discord] Rate limited for tier ${tier}`);
return false;
}
// Build Discord embed
const embed = this._buildAlertEmbed(evaluation, delta, tier);
const sent = await this.sendMessage(null, [embed]);
if (sent) {
for (const s of newSignals) {
const key = this._signalKey(s);
memory.markAsAlerted(key, new Date().toISOString());
this._recordContentHash(s);
}
this._recordAlert(tier);
console.log(`[Discord] ${tier} alert sent (${evaluation._source || 'llm'}): ${evaluation.headline}`);
}
return sent;
}
// ─── Discord-Native Rich Embed Formatting ───────────────────────────────
_buildAlertEmbed(evaluation, delta, tier) {
const tc = TIER_CONFIG[tier];
const tierEmoji = { FLASH: '🔴', PRIORITY: '🟡', ROUTINE: '🔵' }[tier] || '⚪';
const confidenceEmoji = { HIGH: '🟢', MEDIUM: '🟡', LOW: '⚪' }[evaluation.confidence] || '⚪';
const embed = this._embed(
`${tierEmoji} CRUCIX ${tc.label}`,
`**${evaluation.headline}**\n\n${evaluation.reason}`,
tc.color
);
// Add fields
const fields = [
{ name: 'Direction', value: delta.summary.direction.toUpperCase(), inline: true },
{ name: 'Confidence', value: `${confidenceEmoji} ${evaluation.confidence || 'MEDIUM'}`, inline: true },
];
if (evaluation.crossCorrelation) {
fields.push({ name: 'Cross-Correlation', value: evaluation.crossCorrelation, inline: true });
}
if (evaluation.actionable && evaluation.actionable !== 'Monitor') {
fields.push({ name: '💡 Action', value: evaluation.actionable, inline: false });
}
if (evaluation.signals?.length) {
fields.push({ name: 'Signals', value: evaluation.signals.join(' · '), inline: false });
}
// discord.js EmbedBuilder style
if (embed.setFields) {
embed.setFields(fields);
embed.setFooter({ text: `Crucix Intelligence · ${new Date().toISOString().replace('T', ' ').substring(0, 19)} UTC` });
} else {
// Raw embed object for webhook fallback
embed.fields = fields;
embed.footer = { text: `Crucix Intelligence · ${new Date().toISOString().replace('T', ' ').substring(0, 19)} UTC` };
}
return embed;
}
/**
* Create a simple embed. Returns EmbedBuilder if available, otherwise raw object.
*/
_embed(title, description, color) {
if (this._EmbedBuilder) {
return new this._EmbedBuilder()
.setTitle(title)
.setDescription(description)
.setColor(color)
.setTimestamp();
}
// Raw embed for webhook mode (no discord.js loaded)
return {
title,
description,
color,
timestamp: new Date().toISOString(),
};
}
// ─── Rule-Based Fallback (same logic as Telegram) ───────────────────────
_ruleBasedEvaluation(signals, delta) {
const criticals = signals.filter(s => s.severity === 'critical');
const highs = signals.filter(s => s.severity === 'high');
const nukeSignal = signals.find(s => s.key === 'nuke_anomaly');
const osintNew = signals.filter(s => s.key?.startsWith('tg_urgent'));
const marketSignals = signals.filter(s => ['vix', 'hy_spread', 'wti', 'brent', '10y2y'].includes(s.key));
const conflictSignals = signals.filter(s => ['conflict_events', 'conflict_fatalities', 'thermal_total'].includes(s.key));
if (nukeSignal) {
return { shouldAlert: true, tier: 'FLASH', confidence: 'HIGH', headline: 'Nuclear Anomaly Detected',
reason: 'Safecast radiation monitors have flagged an anomaly.', actionable: 'Check dashboard immediately.',
signals: ['nuke_anomaly'], crossCorrelation: 'radiation monitors' };
}
const hasCriticalMarket = criticals.some(s => marketSignals.includes(s));
const hasCriticalConflict = criticals.some(s => conflictSignals.includes(s) || osintNew.includes(s));
if (criticals.length >= 2 && hasCriticalMarket && hasCriticalConflict) {
return { shouldAlert: true, tier: 'FLASH', confidence: 'HIGH',
headline: `${criticals.length} Critical Cross-Domain Signals`,
reason: `Critical signals across market and conflict domains.`,
actionable: 'Review dashboard. Assess exposure.',
signals: criticals.map(s => s.label || s.key).slice(0, 5), crossCorrelation: 'market + conflict' };
}
const escalatedHighs = [...criticals, ...highs].filter(s => s.direction === 'up');
if (escalatedHighs.length >= 2) {
return { shouldAlert: true, tier: 'PRIORITY', confidence: 'MEDIUM',
headline: `${escalatedHighs.length} Escalating Signals`,
reason: `Multiple indicators escalating: ${escalatedHighs.map(s => s.label || s.key).slice(0, 3).join(', ')}.`,
actionable: 'Monitor for continuation.',
signals: escalatedHighs.map(s => s.label || s.key).slice(0, 5), crossCorrelation: 'multi-indicator' };
}
if (osintNew.length >= 5) {
return { shouldAlert: true, tier: 'PRIORITY', confidence: 'MEDIUM',
headline: `OSINT Surge: ${osintNew.length} New Urgent Posts`,
reason: `${osintNew.length} new urgent OSINT signals. Elevated conflict tempo.`,
actionable: 'Review OSINT stream.',
signals: osintNew.map(s => (s.text || '').substring(0, 40)).slice(0, 3), crossCorrelation: 'telegram OSINT' };
}
if (criticals.length >= 1 || highs.length >= 3) {
const top = criticals[0] || highs[0];
return { shouldAlert: true, tier: 'ROUTINE', confidence: 'LOW',
headline: top.label || top.reason || 'Signal Change Detected',
reason: `${criticals.length} critical, ${highs.length} high-severity signals.`,
actionable: 'Monitor', signals: [...criticals, ...highs].map(s => s.label || s.key).slice(0, 4),
crossCorrelation: 'single-domain' };
}
return { shouldAlert: false, reason: `${signals.length} signals below alert threshold.` };
}
// ─── Semantic Dedup (same as Telegram) ──────────────────────────────────
_contentHash(signal) {
let content = '';
if (signal.text) {
content = signal.text.toLowerCase().replace(/\d{1,2}:\d{2}/g, '').replace(/\d+\.\d+%?/g, 'NUM').replace(/\s+/g, ' ').trim().substring(0, 120);
} else if (signal.label) {
content = `${signal.label}:${signal.direction || 'none'}`;
} else {
content = signal.key || JSON.stringify(signal).substring(0, 80);
}
return createHash('sha256').update(content).digest('hex').substring(0, 16);
}
_isSemanticDuplicate(signal) {
const hash = this._contentHash(signal);
const lastSeen = this._contentHashes[hash];
if (!lastSeen) return false;
return new Date(lastSeen).getTime() > (Date.now() - 4 * 60 * 60 * 1000);
}
_recordContentHash(signal) {
const hash = this._contentHash(signal);
this._contentHashes[hash] = new Date().toISOString();
const cutoff = Date.now() - 24 * 60 * 60 * 1000;
for (const [h, ts] of Object.entries(this._contentHashes)) {
if (new Date(ts).getTime() < cutoff) delete this._contentHashes[h];
}
}
_signalKey(signal) {
if (signal.text) return `dc:${this._contentHash(signal)}`;
return signal.key || signal.label || JSON.stringify(signal).substring(0, 60);
}
// ─── Rate Limiting ──────────────────────────────────────────────────────
_checkRateLimit(tier) {
const config = TIER_CONFIG[tier];
if (!config) return true;
const now = Date.now();
const lastSame = this._alertHistory.filter(a => a.tier === tier).pop();
if (lastSame && (now - lastSame.timestamp) < config.cooldownMs) return false;
const recentCount = this._alertHistory.filter(a => a.tier === tier && a.timestamp > now - 3600000).length;
return recentCount < config.maxPerHour;
}
_recordAlert(tier) {
this._alertHistory.push({ tier, timestamp: Date.now() });
if (this._alertHistory.length > 50) this._alertHistory = this._alertHistory.slice(-50);
}
_isMuted() {
if (!this._muteUntil) return false;
if (Date.now() > this._muteUntil) { this._muteUntil = null; return false; }
return true;
}
}
// ─── Helpers ──────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
function parseJSON(text) {
if (!text) return null;
let cleaned = text.trim();
if (cleaned.startsWith('```')) cleaned = cleaned.replace(/^```(?:json)?\n?/, '').replace(/\n?```$/, '');
try { return JSON.parse(cleaned); } catch {
const match = cleaned.match(/\{[\s\S]*\}/);
if (match) { try { return JSON.parse(match[0]); } catch { } }
return null;
}
}

View File

@@ -1,24 +1,59 @@
// Telegram Alerter — sends breaking news alerts via Telegram Bot API (LLM-gated)
// Telegram Alerter v2 — Multi-tier alerts, semantic dedup, two-way bot commands
// USP feature: Crucix becomes a conversational intelligence agent via Telegram
import { createHash } from 'crypto';
const TELEGRAM_API = 'https://api.telegram.org';
// ─── Alert Tiers ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
// FLASH: Immediate action required — market-moving, time-critical (e.g. war escalation, flash crash)
// PRIORITY: Important signal cluster — act within hours (e.g. rate surprise, major OSINT shift)
// ROUTINE: Noteworthy change — FYI, no urgency (e.g. trend continuation, moderate delta)
const TIER_CONFIG = {
FLASH: { emoji: '🔴', label: 'FLASH', cooldownMs: 5 * 60 * 1000, maxPerHour: 6 },
PRIORITY: { emoji: '🟡', label: 'PRIORITY', cooldownMs: 30 * 60 * 1000, maxPerHour: 4 },
ROUTINE: { emoji: '🔵', label: 'ROUTINE', cooldownMs: 60 * 60 * 1000, maxPerHour: 2 },
};
// ─── Bot Commands ───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
const COMMANDS = {
'/status': 'Get current system health, last sweep time, source status',
'/sweep': 'Trigger a manual sweep cycle',
'/brief': 'Get a compact text summary of the latest intelligence',
'/portfolio': 'Show current positions and P&L (if Alpaca connected)',
'/alerts': 'Show recent alert history',
'/mute': 'Mute alerts for 1h (or /mute 2h, /mute 4h)',
'/unmute': 'Resume alerts',
'/help': 'Show available commands',
};
export class TelegramAlerter {
constructor({ botToken, chatId }) {
this.botToken = botToken;
this.chatId = chatId;
this._alertHistory = []; // Recent alerts for rate limiting
this._contentHashes = {}; // Semantic dedup: hash → timestamp
this._muteUntil = null; // Mute timestamp
this._lastUpdateId = 0; // For polling bot commands
this._commandHandlers = {}; // Registered command callbacks
this._pollingInterval = null;
}
get isConfigured() {
return !!(this.botToken && this.chatId);
}
// ─── Core Messaging ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────
/**
* Send a message via Telegram Bot API.
* @param {string} message - markdown-formatted message
* @returns {Promise<boolean>} - true if sent successfully
* @param {object} opts - optional: { parseMode, disablePreview, replyToMessageId }
* @returns {Promise<{ok: boolean, messageId?: number}>}
*/
async sendAlert(message) {
if (!this.isConfigured) return false;
async sendMessage(message, opts = {}) {
if (!this.isConfigured) return { ok: false };
try {
const res = await fetch(`${TELEGRAM_API}/bot${this.botToken}/sendMessage`, {
@@ -27,103 +62,580 @@ export class TelegramAlerter {
body: JSON.stringify({
chat_id: this.chatId,
text: message,
parse_mode: 'Markdown',
disable_web_page_preview: true,
parse_mode: opts.parseMode || 'Markdown',
disable_web_page_preview: opts.disablePreview !== false,
...(opts.replyToMessageId ? { reply_to_message_id: opts.replyToMessageId } : {}),
}),
signal: AbortSignal.timeout(15000),
});
if (!res.ok) {
const err = await res.text().catch(() => '');
console.error(`[Telegram] Send failed (${res.status}): ${err.substring(0, 100)}`);
return false;
console.error(`[Telegram] Send failed (${res.status}): ${err.substring(0, 200)}`);
return { ok: false };
}
return true;
const data = await res.json();
return { ok: true, messageId: data.result?.message_id };
} catch (err) {
console.error('[Telegram] Send error:', err.message);
return false;
return { ok: false };
}
}
// Backward-compatible alias
async sendAlert(message) {
const result = await this.sendMessage(message);
return result.ok;
}
// ─── Multi-Tier Alert Evaluation ────────────────────────────────────────
/**
* Evaluate delta signals with LLM and send alert if warranted.
* @param {LLMProvider} llmProvider - configured LLM provider
* @param {object} delta - delta from current sweep
* @param {MemoryManager} memory - memory manager for dedup
* @returns {Promise<boolean>} - true if alert was sent
* Evaluate delta signals with LLM and send tiered alert if warranted.
* Uses semantic dedup, rate limiting, and a much richer evaluation prompt.
*/
async evaluateAndAlert(llmProvider, delta, memory) {
if (!this.isConfigured || !llmProvider?.isConfigured) return false;
if (!delta?.summary?.criticalChanges) return false;
if (!this.isConfigured) return false;
if (!delta?.summary?.totalChanges) return false;
if (this._isMuted()) {
console.log('[Telegram] Alerts muted until', new Date(this._muteUntil).toLocaleTimeString());
return false;
}
// Filter out already-alerted signals
const alerted = memory.getAlertedSignals();
const newSignals = [
// 1. Gather new signals — filter already-alerted AND semantically duplicate
const allSignals = [
...(delta.signals?.new || []),
...(delta.signals?.escalated || []),
].filter(s => {
const key = s.key || s.label || s.text?.substring(0, 40);
return !alerted[key];
];
const newSignals = allSignals.filter(s => {
const key = this._signalKey(s);
// Check decay-based suppression (if memory supports it)
if (typeof memory.isSignalSuppressed === 'function') {
if (memory.isSignalSuppressed(key)) return false;
} else {
// Legacy: check flat alerted map
const alerted = memory.getAlertedSignals();
if (alerted[key]) return false;
}
// Check semantic/content hash dedup
if (this._isSemanticDuplicate(s)) return false;
return true;
});
if (newSignals.length === 0) return false;
// Ask LLM if these signals warrant an immediate alert
const systemPrompt = `You are an intelligence alert evaluator. You receive new/escalated signals from an OSINT monitoring system. Your job is to determine if any warrant an IMMEDIATE alert to the user.
// 2. Try LLM evaluation first, fall back to rule-based if unavailable
let evaluation = null;
Alert criteria (ALL must be true):
1. Material market impact likely (>1% move in major index, or >5% move in sector/commodity)
2. Time-sensitive — acting in the next few hours matters
3. Not routine data (scheduled economic releases don't count unless they're a major surprise)
if (llmProvider?.isConfigured) {
try {
const systemPrompt = this._buildEvaluationPrompt();
const userMessage = this._buildSignalContext(newSignals, delta);
const result = await llmProvider.complete(systemPrompt, userMessage, {
maxTokens: 800,
timeout: 30000,
});
evaluation = parseJSON(result.text);
} catch (err) {
console.warn('[Telegram] LLM evaluation failed, falling back to rules:', err.message);
// Fall through to rule-based evaluation
}
}
// Rule-based fallback: fires when LLM is unavailable or returns garbage
if (!evaluation || typeof evaluation.shouldAlert !== 'boolean') {
evaluation = this._ruleBasedEvaluation(newSignals, delta);
if (evaluation) evaluation._source = 'rules';
}
if (!evaluation?.shouldAlert) {
console.log('[Telegram] No alert —', evaluation?.reason || 'no qualifying signals');
return false;
}
// 3. Validate tier and check rate limits
const tier = TIER_CONFIG[evaluation.tier] ? evaluation.tier : 'ROUTINE';
if (!this._checkRateLimit(tier)) {
console.log(`[Telegram] Rate limited for tier ${tier}`);
return false;
}
// 4. Format and send tiered alert
const message = this._formatTieredAlert(evaluation, delta, tier);
const sent = await this.sendAlert(message);
if (sent) {
// Mark signals as alerted with content hashing
for (const s of newSignals) {
const key = this._signalKey(s);
memory.markAsAlerted(key, new Date().toISOString());
this._recordContentHash(s);
}
this._recordAlert(tier);
console.log(`[Telegram] ${tier} alert sent (${evaluation._source || 'llm'}): ${evaluation.headline}`);
}
return sent;
}
// ─── Rule-Based Alert Fallback ────────────────────────────────────────
/**
* Deterministic alert evaluation when LLM is unavailable.
* Uses signal counts, severity, and cross-domain correlation.
*/
_ruleBasedEvaluation(signals, delta) {
const criticals = signals.filter(s => s.severity === 'critical');
const highs = signals.filter(s => s.severity === 'high');
const nukeSignal = signals.find(s => s.key === 'nuke_anomaly');
const osintNew = signals.filter(s => s.key?.startsWith('tg_urgent'));
const marketSignals = signals.filter(s => ['vix', 'hy_spread', 'wti', 'brent', '10y2y'].includes(s.key));
const conflictSignals = signals.filter(s => ['conflict_events', 'conflict_fatalities', 'thermal_total'].includes(s.key));
// FLASH: nuclear anomaly, or ≥3 critical signals across domains
if (nukeSignal) {
return {
shouldAlert: true, tier: 'FLASH', confidence: 'HIGH',
headline: 'Nuclear Anomaly Detected',
reason: 'Safecast radiation monitors have flagged an anomaly. This requires immediate attention.',
actionable: 'Check dashboard for affected sites. Monitor confirmation from secondary sources.',
signals: ['nuke_anomaly'],
crossCorrelation: 'radiation monitors',
};
}
// FLASH: ≥2 critical signals AND they span multiple domains
const hasCriticalMarket = criticals.some(s => marketSignals.includes(s));
const hasCriticalConflict = criticals.some(s => conflictSignals.includes(s) || osintNew.includes(s));
if (criticals.length >= 2 && hasCriticalMarket && hasCriticalConflict) {
return {
shouldAlert: true, tier: 'FLASH', confidence: 'HIGH',
headline: `${criticals.length} Critical Cross-Domain Signals`,
reason: `${criticals.length} critical signals detected across market and conflict domains. Multi-domain correlation suggests systemic event.`,
actionable: 'Review dashboard immediately. Assess portfolio exposure.',
signals: criticals.map(s => s.label || s.key).slice(0, 5),
crossCorrelation: 'market + conflict',
};
}
// PRIORITY: ≥2 high/critical signals in same direction
const escalatedHighs = [...criticals, ...highs].filter(s => s.direction === 'up');
if (escalatedHighs.length >= 2) {
return {
shouldAlert: true, tier: 'PRIORITY', confidence: 'MEDIUM',
headline: `${escalatedHighs.length} Escalating Signals`,
reason: `Multiple indicators escalating simultaneously: ${escalatedHighs.map(s => s.label || s.key).slice(0, 3).join(', ')}.`,
actionable: 'Monitor for continuation. Check if trend persists in next sweep.',
signals: escalatedHighs.map(s => s.label || s.key).slice(0, 5),
crossCorrelation: 'multi-indicator',
};
}
// PRIORITY: ≥5 new OSINT posts (surge in conflict reporting)
if (osintNew.length >= 5) {
return {
shouldAlert: true, tier: 'PRIORITY', confidence: 'MEDIUM',
headline: `OSINT Surge: ${osintNew.length} New Urgent Posts`,
reason: `${osintNew.length} new urgent OSINT signals detected. Elevated conflict reporting tempo.`,
actionable: 'Review OSINT stream for pattern. Cross-check with satellite and ACLED data.',
signals: osintNew.map(s => (s.text || '').substring(0, 40)).slice(0, 3),
crossCorrelation: 'telegram OSINT',
};
}
// ROUTINE: any critical signal OR ≥3 high signals
if (criticals.length >= 1 || highs.length >= 3) {
const topSignal = criticals[0] || highs[0];
return {
shouldAlert: true, tier: 'ROUTINE', confidence: 'LOW',
headline: topSignal.label || topSignal.reason || 'Signal Change Detected',
reason: `${criticals.length} critical, ${highs.length} high-severity signals. ${delta.summary.direction} bias.`,
actionable: 'Monitor',
signals: [...criticals, ...highs].map(s => s.label || s.key).slice(0, 4),
crossCorrelation: 'single-domain',
};
}
// No alert
return {
shouldAlert: false,
reason: `${signals.length} signals, but none meet alert threshold (${criticals.length} critical, ${highs.length} high).`,
};
}
// ─── Two-Way Bot Commands ───────────────────────────────────────────────
/**
* Register command handlers that the bot can respond to.
* @param {string} command - e.g. '/status'
* @param {Function} handler - async (args, messageId) => responseText
*/
onCommand(command, handler) {
this._commandHandlers[command.toLowerCase()] = handler;
}
/**
* Start polling for incoming messages/commands.
* Call this once during server startup.
* @param {number} intervalMs - polling interval (default 5000ms)
*/
startPolling(intervalMs = 5000) {
if (!this.isConfigured) return;
if (this._pollingInterval) return; // Already polling
console.log('[Telegram] Bot command polling started');
this._pollingInterval = setInterval(() => this._pollUpdates(), intervalMs);
// Initial poll
this._pollUpdates();
}
/**
* Stop polling for incoming messages.
*/
stopPolling() {
if (this._pollingInterval) {
clearInterval(this._pollingInterval);
this._pollingInterval = null;
console.log('[Telegram] Bot command polling stopped');
}
}
async _pollUpdates() {
try {
const params = new URLSearchParams({
offset: String(this._lastUpdateId + 1),
timeout: '0',
limit: '10',
allowed_updates: JSON.stringify(['message']),
});
const res = await fetch(`${TELEGRAM_API}/bot${this.botToken}/getUpdates?${params}`, {
signal: AbortSignal.timeout(10000),
});
if (!res.ok) return;
const data = await res.json();
if (!data.ok || !Array.isArray(data.result)) return;
for (const update of data.result) {
this._lastUpdateId = Math.max(this._lastUpdateId, update.update_id);
const msg = update.message;
if (!msg?.text) continue;
// Only process messages from the configured chat
const chatId = String(msg.chat?.id);
if (chatId !== String(this.chatId)) continue;
await this._handleMessage(msg);
}
} catch (err) {
// Silent — polling failures are non-fatal
if (!err.message?.includes('aborted')) {
console.error('[Telegram] Poll error:', err.message);
}
}
}
async _handleMessage(msg) {
const text = msg.text.trim();
const parts = text.split(/\s+/);
const command = parts[0].toLowerCase();
const args = parts.slice(1).join(' ');
// Built-in commands
if (command === '/help') {
const helpText = Object.entries(COMMANDS)
.map(([cmd, desc]) => `${cmd}${desc}`)
.join('\n');
await this.sendMessage(
`🤖 *CRUCIX BOT COMMANDS*\n\n${helpText}\n\n_Tip: Commands are case-insensitive_`,
{ replyToMessageId: msg.message_id }
);
return;
}
if (command === '/mute') {
const hours = parseFloat(args) || 1;
this._muteUntil = Date.now() + hours * 60 * 60 * 1000;
await this.sendMessage(
`🔇 Alerts muted for ${hours}h — until ${new Date(this._muteUntil).toLocaleTimeString()} UTC\nUse /unmute to resume.`,
{ replyToMessageId: msg.message_id }
);
return;
}
if (command === '/unmute') {
this._muteUntil = null;
await this.sendMessage(
`🔔 Alerts resumed. You'll receive the next signal evaluation.`,
{ replyToMessageId: msg.message_id }
);
return;
}
if (command === '/alerts') {
const recent = this._alertHistory.slice(-10);
if (recent.length === 0) {
await this.sendMessage('No recent alerts.', { replyToMessageId: msg.message_id });
return;
}
const lines = recent.map(a =>
`${TIER_CONFIG[a.tier]?.emoji || '⚪'} ${a.tier}${new Date(a.timestamp).toLocaleTimeString()}`
);
await this.sendMessage(
`📋 *Recent Alerts (last ${recent.length})*\n\n${lines.join('\n')}`,
{ replyToMessageId: msg.message_id }
);
return;
}
// Delegate to registered handlers
const handler = this._commandHandlers[command];
if (handler) {
try {
const response = await handler(args, msg.message_id);
if (response) {
await this.sendMessage(response, { replyToMessageId: msg.message_id });
}
} catch (err) {
console.error(`[Telegram] Command ${command} error:`, err.message);
await this.sendMessage(
`❌ Command failed: ${err.message}`,
{ replyToMessageId: msg.message_id }
);
}
}
// Unknown commands are silently ignored to avoid spamming
}
// ─── Semantic Dedup ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────
/**
* Generate a content-based hash for a signal to detect near-duplicates.
* Uses normalized text + key metrics rather than raw text prefix matching.
*/
_contentHash(signal) {
// Normalize: lowercase, strip numbers that change frequently (timestamps, exact values)
let content = '';
if (signal.text) {
content = signal.text.toLowerCase()
.replace(/\d{1,2}:\d{2}/g, '') // strip times
.replace(/\d+\.\d+%?/g, 'NUM') // normalize numbers
.replace(/\s+/g, ' ')
.trim()
.substring(0, 120);
} else if (signal.label) {
// For metric signals, hash the label + direction (not exact values)
content = `${signal.label}:${signal.direction || 'none'}`;
} else {
content = signal.key || JSON.stringify(signal).substring(0, 80);
}
return createHash('sha256').update(content).digest('hex').substring(0, 16);
}
_isSemanticDuplicate(signal) {
const hash = this._contentHash(signal);
const lastSeen = this._contentHashes[hash];
if (!lastSeen) return false;
// Consider duplicate if seen within last 4 hours
const fourHoursAgo = Date.now() - 4 * 60 * 60 * 1000;
return new Date(lastSeen).getTime() > fourHoursAgo;
}
_recordContentHash(signal) {
const hash = this._contentHash(signal);
this._contentHashes[hash] = new Date().toISOString();
// Prune hashes older than 24h
const cutoff = Date.now() - 24 * 60 * 60 * 1000;
for (const [h, ts] of Object.entries(this._contentHashes)) {
if (new Date(ts).getTime() < cutoff) delete this._contentHashes[h];
}
}
_signalKey(signal) {
// Improved key generation — use content hash for text signals, structured key for metrics
if (signal.text) return `tg:${this._contentHash(signal)}`;
return signal.key || signal.label || JSON.stringify(signal).substring(0, 60);
}
// ─── Rate Limiting ──────────────────────────────────────────────────────
_checkRateLimit(tier) {
const config = TIER_CONFIG[tier];
if (!config) return true;
const now = Date.now();
const oneHourAgo = now - 60 * 60 * 1000;
// Check cooldown since last alert of same or lower tier
const lastSameTier = this._alertHistory
.filter(a => a.tier === tier)
.pop();
if (lastSameTier && (now - lastSameTier.timestamp) < config.cooldownMs) {
return false;
}
// Check hourly cap
const recentCount = this._alertHistory
.filter(a => a.tier === tier && a.timestamp > oneHourAgo)
.length;
if (recentCount >= config.maxPerHour) {
return false;
}
return true;
}
_recordAlert(tier) {
this._alertHistory.push({ tier, timestamp: Date.now() });
// Keep only last 50 alerts
if (this._alertHistory.length > 50) {
this._alertHistory = this._alertHistory.slice(-50);
}
}
_isMuted() {
if (!this._muteUntil) return false;
if (Date.now() > this._muteUntil) {
this._muteUntil = null;
return false;
}
return true;
}
// ─── Prompt Engineering ─────────────────────────────────────────────────
_buildEvaluationPrompt() {
return `You are Crucix, an elite intelligence alert evaluator for a personal OSINT monitoring system. You analyze signal deltas from a 25-source intelligence sweep and decide if the user needs to be alerted via Telegram.
## Your Decision Framework
You must classify each evaluation into one of four outcomes:
### NO ALERT — suppress if:
- Routine scheduled data (NFP, CPI, FOMC minutes on expected dates) UNLESS the deviation from consensus is extreme (>2σ)
- Continuation of existing trends already flagged in prior sweeps
- Low-confidence signals from single sources without corroboration
- Social media noise without hard-data confirmation (Telegram chatter alone is NOT enough)
### 🔴 FLASH — immediate, life-of-portfolio risk:
- Active military escalation between nuclear powers or NATO-involved states
- Flash crash indicators (VIX spike >40%, major index down >3% intraday)
- Central bank emergency action (unscheduled rate decision, emergency lending facility)
- Nuclear/radiological anomaly confirmed by multiple monitors
- Sanctions against major economy announced without warning
FLASH requires: ≥2 corroborating sources across different domains (e.g. OSINT + market data + satellite)
### 🟡 PRIORITY — act within hours:
- Significant market dislocation (VIX >25 AND credit spreads widening)
- Geopolitical escalation with clear energy/commodity transmission (conflict + oil move >3%)
- Unexpected economic data (>1.5σ miss on major indicator)
- New conflict front or ceasefire collapse confirmed by ACLED + Telegram
PRIORITY requires: ≥2 signals moving in same direction, at least 1 from hard data
### 🔵 ROUTINE — informational, no urgency:
- Notable trend shifts or reversals worth tracking
- Single-source signals of moderate importance
- Cumulative drift (multiple small moves in same direction over several sweeps)
## Output Format
Respond with ONLY valid JSON:
{
"shouldAlert": true/false,
"reason": "1-2 sentence explanation",
"headline": "Alert headline if shouldAlert is true",
"signals": ["key signals that triggered alert"]
"tier": "FLASH" | "PRIORITY" | "ROUTINE",
"headline": "10-word max headline",
"reason": "2-3 sentences. What happened, why it matters, what to watch next.",
"actionable": "Specific action the user could take (or 'Monitor' if just informational)",
"signals": ["signal1", "signal2"],
"confidence": "HIGH" | "MEDIUM" | "LOW",
"crossCorrelation": "Which domains are confirming each other (e.g. 'conflict + energy + satellite')"
}`;
}
const userMessage = `New/escalated signals since last sweep:\n${newSignals.map(s => {
if (s.changePct !== undefined) return `- ${s.label}: ${s.previous}${s.current} (${s.changePct > 0 ? '+' : ''}${s.changePct.toFixed(1)}%)`;
if (s.text) return `- NEW OSINT: ${s.text.substring(0, 120)}`;
return `- ${s.label || JSON.stringify(s)}`;
}).join('\n')}
_buildSignalContext(signals, delta) {
const sections = [];
Delta summary: direction=${delta.summary.direction}, total changes=${delta.summary.totalChanges}, critical=${delta.summary.criticalChanges}`;
// Categorize signals
const marketSignals = signals.filter(s => ['vix', 'hy_spread', 'wti', 'brent', 'natgas', '10y2y', 'fed_funds', '10y_yield', 'usd_index'].includes(s.key));
const osintSignals = signals.filter(s => s.key === 'tg_urgent' || s.item?.channel);
const conflictSignals = signals.filter(s => ['conflict_events', 'conflict_fatalities', 'thermal_total'].includes(s.key));
const otherSignals = signals.filter(s => !marketSignals.includes(s) && !osintSignals.includes(s) && !conflictSignals.includes(s));
try {
const result = await llmProvider.complete(systemPrompt, userMessage, { maxTokens: 512, timeout: 30000 });
const evaluation = parseEvaluation(result.text);
if (!evaluation?.shouldAlert) {
console.log('[Telegram] LLM says no alert needed:', evaluation?.reason || 'unknown');
return false;
}
// Build and send alert message
const message = formatAlertMessage(evaluation, delta);
const sent = await this.sendAlert(message);
if (sent) {
// Mark signals as alerted
for (const s of newSignals) {
const key = s.key || s.label || s.text?.substring(0, 40);
memory.markAsAlerted(key, new Date().toISOString());
}
console.log('[Telegram] Alert sent:', evaluation.headline);
}
return sent;
} catch (err) {
console.error('[Telegram] LLM evaluation failed:', err.message);
return false;
if (marketSignals.length > 0) {
sections.push('📊 MARKET SIGNALS:\n' + marketSignals.map(s =>
` ${s.label}: ${s.from}${s.to} (${s.pctChange > 0 ? '+' : ''}${s.pctChange?.toFixed(1) || s.change}${s.pctChange !== undefined ? '%' : ''})`
).join('\n'));
}
if (osintSignals.length > 0) {
sections.push('📡 OSINT SIGNALS:\n' + osintSignals.map(s => {
const post = s.item || s;
return ` [${post.channel || 'UNKNOWN'}] ${(post.text || s.reason || '').substring(0, 150)}`;
}).join('\n'));
}
if (conflictSignals.length > 0) {
sections.push('⚔️ CONFLICT INDICATORS:\n' + conflictSignals.map(s =>
` ${s.label}: ${s.from}${s.to} (${s.direction})`
).join('\n'));
}
if (otherSignals.length > 0) {
sections.push('📌 OTHER:\n' + otherSignals.map(s =>
` ${s.label || s.key || s.reason}: ${s.from !== undefined ? `${s.from}${s.to}` : 'new signal'}`
).join('\n'));
}
sections.push(`\n📈 SWEEP DELTA: direction=${delta.summary.direction}, total=${delta.summary.totalChanges}, critical=${delta.summary.criticalChanges}`);
return sections.join('\n\n');
}
// ─── Message Formatting ─────────────────────────────────────────────────
_formatTieredAlert(evaluation, delta, tier) {
const tc = TIER_CONFIG[tier];
const confidenceEmoji = { HIGH: '🟢', MEDIUM: '🟡', LOW: '⚪' }[evaluation.confidence] || '⚪';
const lines = [
`${tc.emoji} *CRUCIX ${tc.label}*`,
``,
`*${evaluation.headline}*`,
``,
evaluation.reason,
``,
`Confidence: ${confidenceEmoji} ${evaluation.confidence || 'MEDIUM'}`,
`Direction: ${delta.summary.direction.toUpperCase()}`,
];
if (evaluation.crossCorrelation) {
lines.push(`Cross-correlation: ${evaluation.crossCorrelation}`);
}
if (evaluation.actionable && evaluation.actionable !== 'Monitor') {
lines.push(``, `💡 *Action:* ${evaluation.actionable}`);
}
if (evaluation.signals?.length) {
lines.push('', `Signals: ${evaluation.signals.join(' · ')}`);
}
lines.push('', `_${new Date().toISOString().replace('T', ' ').substring(0, 19)} UTC_`);
return lines.join('\n');
}
}
function parseEvaluation(text) {
// ─── Helpers ──────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
function parseJSON(text) {
if (!text) return null;
let cleaned = text.trim();
if (cleaned.startsWith('```')) {
@@ -139,24 +651,3 @@ function parseEvaluation(text) {
return null;
}
}
function formatAlertMessage(evaluation, delta) {
const lines = [
`🚨 *CRUCIX ALERT*`,
``,
`*${evaluation.headline}*`,
``,
evaluation.reason,
``,
`Direction: ${delta.summary.direction.toUpperCase()}`,
`Critical changes: ${delta.summary.criticalChanges}`,
];
if (evaluation.signals?.length) {
lines.push('', `Key signals: ${evaluation.signals.join(', ')}`);
}
lines.push('', `_${new Date().toLocaleTimeString()} UTC_`);
return lines.join('\n');
}

View File

@@ -1,18 +1,51 @@
// Delta Engine — compares two synthesized sweep results and produces structured changes
// Delta Engine v2 — compares two synthesized sweep results and produces structured changes
// Improvements: count metric thresholds, semantic TG dedup, configurable thresholds, null-safety
import { createHash } from 'crypto';
// ─── Default Thresholds ──────────────────────────────────────────────────────
// Override via config.delta.thresholds in crucix.config.mjs
const DEFAULT_NUMERIC_THRESHOLDS = {
vix: 5, // % change to flag
hy_spread: 5,
'10y2y': 10,
wti: 3,
brent: 3,
natgas: 5,
unemployment: 2,
fed_funds: 1,
'10y_yield': 3,
usd_index: 1,
mortgage: 2,
};
const DEFAULT_COUNT_THRESHOLDS = {
urgent_posts: 2, // need ±2 to matter (was 0 — any change)
thermal_total: 500, // ±500 detections (was 0 — +1 was noise)
air_total: 50, // ±50 aircraft
who_alerts: 1, // any new WHO alert matters
conflict_events: 5, // ±5 ACLED events
conflict_fatalities: 10, // ±10 fatalities
sdr_online: 3, // ±3 receivers
news_count: 5, // ±5 news items
sources_ok: 1, // any source going down matters
};
// ─── Metric Definitions ──────────────────────────────────────────────────────
// Metrics we track for delta computation
const NUMERIC_METRICS = [
{ key: 'vix', extract: d => d.fred?.find(f => f.id === 'VIXCLS')?.value, label: 'VIX', threshold: 5 },
{ key: 'hy_spread', extract: d => d.fred?.find(f => f.id === 'BAMLH0A0HYM2')?.value, label: 'HY Spread', threshold: 5 },
{ key: '10y2y', extract: d => d.fred?.find(f => f.id === 'T10Y2Y')?.value, label: '10Y-2Y Spread', threshold: 10 },
{ key: 'wti', extract: d => d.energy?.wti, label: 'WTI Crude', threshold: 3 },
{ key: 'brent', extract: d => d.energy?.brent, label: 'Brent Crude', threshold: 3 },
{ key: 'natgas', extract: d => d.energy?.natgas, label: 'Natural Gas', threshold: 5 },
{ key: 'unemployment', extract: d => d.bls?.find(b => b.id === 'LNS14000000' || b.id === 'UNRATE')?.value, label: 'Unemployment', threshold: 2 },
{ key: 'fed_funds', extract: d => d.fred?.find(f => f.id === 'DFF')?.value, label: 'Fed Funds Rate', threshold: 1 },
{ key: '10y_yield', extract: d => d.fred?.find(f => f.id === 'DGS10')?.value, label: '10Y Yield', threshold: 3 },
{ key: 'usd_index', extract: d => d.fred?.find(f => f.id === 'DTWEXBGS')?.value, label: 'USD Index', threshold: 1 },
{ key: 'mortgage', extract: d => d.fred?.find(f => f.id === 'MORTGAGE30US')?.value, label: '30Y Mortgage', threshold: 2 },
{ key: 'vix', extract: d => d.fred?.find(f => f.id === 'VIXCLS')?.value, label: 'VIX' },
{ key: 'hy_spread', extract: d => d.fred?.find(f => f.id === 'BAMLH0A0HYM2')?.value, label: 'HY Spread' },
{ key: '10y2y', extract: d => d.fred?.find(f => f.id === 'T10Y2Y')?.value, label: '10Y-2Y Spread' },
{ key: 'wti', extract: d => d.energy?.wti, label: 'WTI Crude' },
{ key: 'brent', extract: d => d.energy?.brent, label: 'Brent Crude' },
{ key: 'natgas', extract: d => d.energy?.natgas, label: 'Natural Gas' },
{ key: 'unemployment', extract: d => d.bls?.find(b => b.id === 'LNS14000000' || b.id === 'UNRATE')?.value, label: 'Unemployment' },
{ key: 'fed_funds', extract: d => d.fred?.find(f => f.id === 'DFF')?.value, label: 'Fed Funds Rate' },
{ key: '10y_yield', extract: d => d.fred?.find(f => f.id === 'DGS10')?.value, label: '10Y Yield' },
{ key: 'usd_index', extract: d => d.fred?.find(f => f.id === 'DTWEXBGS')?.value, label: 'USD Index' },
{ key: 'mortgage', extract: d => d.fred?.find(f => f.id === 'MORTGAGE30US')?.value, label: '30Y Mortgage' },
];
const COUNT_METRICS = [
@@ -23,29 +56,66 @@ const COUNT_METRICS = [
{ key: 'conflict_events', extract: d => d.acled?.totalEvents || 0, label: 'Conflict Events' },
{ key: 'conflict_fatalities', extract: d => d.acled?.totalFatalities || 0, label: 'Conflict Fatalities' },
{ key: 'sdr_online', extract: d => d.sdr?.online || 0, label: 'SDR Receivers' },
{ key: 'news_count', extract: d => d.news?.length || 0, label: 'News Items' },
{ key: 'news_count', extract: d => (d.news?.length ?? d.news?.count) || 0, label: 'News Items' },
{ key: 'sources_ok', extract: d => d.meta?.sourcesOk || 0, label: 'Sources OK' },
];
export function computeDelta(current, previous) {
// Risk-sensitive keys: used for determining overall direction
const RISK_KEYS = ['vix', 'hy_spread', 'urgent_posts', 'conflict_events', 'thermal_total'];
// ─── Semantic Hashing for Telegram Posts ─────────────────────────────────────
/**
* Produce a normalized hash of a post's content.
* Strips timestamps, normalizes numbers, lowercases — so "BREAKING: 5 missiles at 14:32"
* and "Breaking: 7 missiles at 15:01" produce the same hash (both are "missile strike" signals).
*/
function contentHash(text) {
if (!text) return '';
const normalized = text
.toLowerCase()
.replace(/\d{1,2}:\d{2}(:\d{2})?/g, '') // strip times
.replace(/\d+/g, 'N') // normalize all numbers
.replace(/[^\w\s]/g, '') // strip punctuation
.replace(/\s+/g, ' ')
.trim()
.substring(0, 100);
return createHash('sha256').update(normalized).digest('hex').substring(0, 12);
}
// ─── Core Delta Computation ──────────────────────────────────────────────────
/**
* @param {object} current - current sweep's synthesized data
* @param {object|null} previous - previous sweep's synthesized data (null on first run)
* @param {object} [thresholdOverrides] - optional: { numeric: {...}, count: {...} }
*/
export function computeDelta(current, previous, thresholdOverrides = {}) {
if (!previous) return null;
if (!current) return null;
const numThresholds = { ...DEFAULT_NUMERIC_THRESHOLDS, ...(thresholdOverrides.numeric || {}) };
const cntThresholds = { ...DEFAULT_COUNT_THRESHOLDS, ...(thresholdOverrides.count || {}) };
const signals = { new: [], escalated: [], deescalated: [], unchanged: [] };
let criticalChanges = 0;
// Numeric metrics: track % change
// ─── Numeric metrics: track % change ─────────────────────────────────
for (const m of NUMERIC_METRICS) {
const curr = m.extract(current);
const prev = m.extract(previous);
if (curr == null || prev == null) continue;
const threshold = numThresholds[m.key] ?? 5;
const pctChange = prev !== 0 ? ((curr - prev) / Math.abs(prev)) * 100 : 0;
if (Math.abs(pctChange) > m.threshold) {
if (Math.abs(pctChange) > threshold) {
const entry = {
key: m.key, label: m.label, from: prev, to: curr,
pctChange: parseFloat(pctChange.toFixed(2)),
direction: pctChange > 0 ? 'up' : 'down',
severity: Math.abs(pctChange) > threshold * 3 ? 'critical' : Math.abs(pctChange) > threshold * 2 ? 'high' : 'moderate',
};
if (pctChange > 0) signals.escalated.push(entry);
else signals.deescalated.push(entry);
@@ -55,52 +125,78 @@ export function computeDelta(current, previous) {
}
}
// Count metrics: track absolute change
// ─── Count metrics: track absolute change (with minimum thresholds) ──
for (const m of COUNT_METRICS) {
const curr = m.extract(current);
const prev = m.extract(previous);
const diff = curr - prev;
const threshold = cntThresholds[m.key] ?? 1;
if (Math.abs(diff) > 0) {
if (Math.abs(diff) >= threshold) {
const pctChange = prev > 0 ? ((diff / prev) * 100) : (diff > 0 ? 100 : 0);
const entry = {
key: m.key, label: m.label, from: prev, to: curr,
change: diff, direction: diff > 0 ? 'up' : 'down',
pctChange: parseFloat(pctChange.toFixed(1)),
severity: Math.abs(diff) >= threshold * 5 ? 'critical' : Math.abs(diff) >= threshold * 2 ? 'high' : 'moderate',
};
if (diff > 0) signals.escalated.push(entry);
else signals.deescalated.push(entry);
// Count metrics only critical if the change is extreme
if (entry.severity === 'critical') criticalChanges++;
} else {
signals.unchanged.push(m.key);
}
}
// New urgent posts (check by text content)
const prevUrgentTexts = new Set((previous.tg?.urgent || []).map(p => p.text?.substring(0, 60)));
// ─── New urgent Telegram posts (semantic dedup) ──────────────────────
const prevHashes = new Set(
(previous.tg?.urgent || []).map(p => contentHash(p.text))
);
for (const post of (current.tg?.urgent || [])) {
const key = post.text?.substring(0, 60);
if (key && !prevUrgentTexts.has(key)) {
signals.new.push({ key: 'tg_urgent', item: post, reason: 'New urgent OSINT post' });
const hash = contentHash(post.text);
if (hash && !prevHashes.has(hash)) {
signals.new.push({
key: `tg_urgent:${hash}`,
text: post.text?.substring(0, 120),
item: post,
reason: 'New urgent OSINT post',
});
criticalChanges++;
}
}
// Nuclear anomaly change
// ─── Nuclear anomaly state change ────────────────────────────────────
const currAnom = current.nuke?.some(n => n.anom) || false;
const prevAnom = previous.nuke?.some(n => n.anom) || false;
if (currAnom && !prevAnom) {
signals.new.push({ key: 'nuke_anomaly', reason: 'Nuclear anomaly detected' });
criticalChanges += 5; // Critical
signals.new.push({ key: 'nuke_anomaly', reason: 'Nuclear anomaly detected', severity: 'critical' });
criticalChanges += 5;
} else if (!currAnom && prevAnom) {
signals.deescalated.push({ key: 'nuke_anomaly', label: 'Nuclear Anomaly', direction: 'resolved' });
signals.deescalated.push({ key: 'nuke_anomaly', label: 'Nuclear Anomaly', direction: 'resolved', severity: 'high' });
}
// Determine overall direction
// ─── Source health degradation ───────────────────────────────────────
const currSourcesDown = current.health?.filter(s => s.err).length || 0;
const prevSourcesDown = previous.health?.filter(s => s.err).length || 0;
if (currSourcesDown > prevSourcesDown + 2) {
signals.new.push({
key: 'source_degradation',
reason: `${currSourcesDown - prevSourcesDown} additional sources failing (${currSourcesDown} total down)`,
severity: currSourcesDown > 5 ? 'critical' : 'moderate',
});
}
// ─── Overall direction ───────────────────────────────────────────────
let direction = 'mixed';
const riskUp = signals.escalated.filter(s =>
['vix', 'hy_spread', 'urgent_posts', 'conflict_events', 'thermal_total'].includes(s.key)
).length;
const riskDown = signals.deescalated.filter(s =>
['vix', 'hy_spread', 'urgent_posts', 'conflict_events', 'thermal_total'].includes(s.key)
).length;
const riskUp = signals.escalated.filter(s => RISK_KEYS.includes(s.key)).length;
const riskDown = signals.deescalated.filter(s => RISK_KEYS.includes(s.key)).length;
if (riskUp > riskDown + 1) direction = 'risk-off';
else if (riskDown > riskUp + 1) direction = 'risk-on';
@@ -112,6 +208,15 @@ export function computeDelta(current, previous) {
totalChanges: signals.new.length + signals.escalated.length + signals.deescalated.length,
criticalChanges,
direction,
signalBreakdown: {
new: signals.new.length,
escalated: signals.escalated.length,
deescalated: signals.deescalated.length,
unchanged: signals.unchanged.length,
},
},
};
}
// Export thresholds for external config
export { DEFAULT_NUMERIC_THRESHOLDS, DEFAULT_COUNT_THRESHOLDS };

View File

@@ -1,11 +1,16 @@
// Memory Manager — hot/cold storage for sweep history and alert tracking
// v2: Atomic writes, decay-based alert cooldowns, configurable retention
import { readFileSync, writeFileSync, mkdirSync, existsSync } from 'fs';
import { readFileSync, writeFileSync, mkdirSync, existsSync, renameSync, unlinkSync } from 'fs';
import { join } from 'path';
import { computeDelta } from './engine.mjs';
const MAX_HOT_RUNS = 3;
// Alert cooldown tiers — repeated signals get progressively longer suppression
// First alert: 0h wait. Second occurrence within 24h: 6h cooldown. Third: 12h. Fourth+: 24h.
const ALERT_DECAY_TIERS = [0, 6, 12, 24]; // hours
export class MemoryManager {
constructor(runsDir) {
this.runsDir = runsDir;
@@ -23,18 +28,46 @@ export class MemoryManager {
}
_loadHot() {
try {
return JSON.parse(readFileSync(this.hotPath, 'utf8'));
} catch {
return { runs: [], alertedSignals: {} };
// Try primary file first, then backup
for (const path of [this.hotPath, this.hotPath + '.bak']) {
try {
const raw = readFileSync(path, 'utf8');
const data = JSON.parse(raw);
// Validate structure
if (data && Array.isArray(data.runs) && typeof data.alertedSignals === 'object') {
return data;
}
} catch { /* try next */ }
}
console.warn('[Memory] No valid hot memory found — starting fresh');
return { runs: [], alertedSignals: {} };
}
/**
* Atomic write: write to .tmp, then rename over target.
* Keeps a .bak of the previous version for crash recovery.
*/
_saveHot() {
const tmpPath = this.hotPath + '.tmp';
const bakPath = this.hotPath + '.bak';
try {
writeFileSync(this.hotPath, JSON.stringify(this.hot, null, 2));
// 1. Write to temp file (if this crashes, original is untouched)
writeFileSync(tmpPath, JSON.stringify(this.hot, null, 2));
// 2. Back up current file (if it exists)
try {
if (existsSync(this.hotPath)) {
// Copy current → .bak (overwrite previous backup)
renameSync(this.hotPath, bakPath);
}
} catch { /* backup failure is non-fatal */ }
// 3. Atomic rename: .tmp → hot.json
renameSync(tmpPath, this.hotPath);
} catch (err) {
console.error('[Memory] Failed to save hot memory:', err.message);
// Clean up tmp if it exists
try { unlinkSync(tmpPath); } catch { }
}
}
@@ -79,21 +112,78 @@ export class MemoryManager {
return this.hot.runs[0].delta;
}
// Track what signals have been alerted on
// ─── Alert Signal Tracking (Decay-Based) ───────────────────────────────
getAlertedSignals() {
return this.hot.alertedSignals || {};
}
/**
* Check if a signal should be suppressed based on decay-based cooldown.
* Returns true if the signal is still in cooldown.
*/
isSignalSuppressed(signalKey) {
const entry = this.hot.alertedSignals[signalKey];
if (!entry) return false;
const now = Date.now();
const occurrences = typeof entry === 'object' ? (entry.count || 1) : 1;
const lastAlerted = typeof entry === 'object' ? new Date(entry.lastAlerted).getTime() : new Date(entry).getTime();
// Pick cooldown tier based on how many times this signal has fired
const tierIndex = Math.min(occurrences, ALERT_DECAY_TIERS.length - 1);
const cooldownHours = ALERT_DECAY_TIERS[tierIndex];
const cooldownMs = cooldownHours * 60 * 60 * 1000;
return (now - lastAlerted) < cooldownMs;
}
/**
* Mark a signal as alerted, incrementing its occurrence counter.
* Supports both legacy (string timestamp) and new (object with count) formats.
*/
markAsAlerted(signalKey, timestamp) {
this.hot.alertedSignals[signalKey] = timestamp || new Date().toISOString();
const now = timestamp || new Date().toISOString();
const existing = this.hot.alertedSignals[signalKey];
if (existing && typeof existing === 'object') {
// Increment existing
existing.count = (existing.count || 1) + 1;
existing.lastAlerted = now;
existing.firstSeen = existing.firstSeen || now;
} else {
// New entry (or migrate from legacy string format)
this.hot.alertedSignals[signalKey] = {
firstSeen: typeof existing === 'string' ? existing : now,
lastAlerted: now,
count: typeof existing === 'string' ? 2 : 1,
};
}
this._saveHot();
}
// Clean up old alerted signals (older than 24h)
/**
* Prune stale alerted signals.
* Signals with 1 occurrence: pruned after 24h.
* Signals with 2+ occurrences: pruned after 48h from last alert.
* This prevents infinite accumulation while keeping recurring signal awareness.
*/
pruneAlertedSignals() {
const cutoff = Date.now() - 24 * 60 * 60 * 1000;
for (const [key, ts] of Object.entries(this.hot.alertedSignals)) {
if (new Date(ts).getTime() < cutoff) {
const now = Date.now();
for (const [key, entry] of Object.entries(this.hot.alertedSignals)) {
let lastTime, count;
if (typeof entry === 'object') {
lastTime = new Date(entry.lastAlerted).getTime();
count = entry.count || 1;
} else {
// Legacy string format
lastTime = new Date(entry).getTime();
count = 1;
}
const maxAge = count >= 2 ? 48 * 60 * 60 * 1000 : 24 * 60 * 60 * 1000;
if ((now - lastTime) > maxAge) {
delete this.hot.alertedSignals[key];
}
}
@@ -116,6 +206,7 @@ export class MemoryManager {
who: (data.who || []).map(w => ({ title: w.title })),
acled: { totalEvents: data.acled?.totalEvents, totalFatalities: data.acled?.totalFatalities },
sdr: { total: data.sdr?.total, online: data.sdr?.online },
news: { count: data.news?.length || 0 },
ideas: (data.ideas || []).map(i => ({ title: i.title, type: i.type, confidence: i.confidence })),
};
}
@@ -130,10 +221,14 @@ export class MemoryManager {
try { existing = JSON.parse(readFileSync(coldPath, 'utf8')); } catch { }
existing.push(...runs);
// Use atomic write for cold storage too
const tmpPath = coldPath + '.tmp';
try {
writeFileSync(coldPath, JSON.stringify(existing, null, 2));
writeFileSync(tmpPath, JSON.stringify(existing, null, 2));
renameSync(tmpPath, coldPath);
} catch (err) {
console.error('[Memory] Failed to archive to cold storage:', err.message);
try { unlinkSync(tmpPath); } catch { }
}
}
}

View File

@@ -7,7 +7,7 @@ export class AnthropicProvider extends LLMProvider {
super(config);
this.name = 'anthropic';
this.apiKey = config.apiKey;
this.model = config.model || 'claude-sonnet-4-20250514';
this.model = config.model || 'claude-sonnet-4-6';
}
get isConfigured() { return !!this.apiKey; }

View File

@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
// OpenAI Codex Provider — uses ChatGPT subscription via chatgpt.com/backend-api/codex/responses
// Auth: reads ~/.codex/auth.json (created by `npx @openai/codex login`)
// SSE streaming, codex-specific models only (gpt-5.2-codex, gpt-5.3-codex)
// SSE streaming, codex-specific models only (gpt-5.3-codex, gpt-5.3-codex-spark)
import { readFileSync } from 'fs';
import { join } from 'path';
@@ -14,7 +14,7 @@ export class CodexProvider extends LLMProvider {
constructor(config) {
super(config);
this.name = 'codex';
this.model = config.model || 'gpt-5.2-codex';
this.model = config.model || 'gpt-5.3-codex';
this._creds = null;
}

View File

@@ -7,7 +7,7 @@ export class GeminiProvider extends LLMProvider {
super(config);
this.name = 'gemini';
this.apiKey = config.apiKey;
this.model = config.model || 'gemini-2.0-flash';
this.model = config.model || 'gemini-3.1-pro';
}
get isConfigured() { return !!this.apiKey; }

View File

@@ -7,7 +7,7 @@ export class OpenAIProvider extends LLMProvider {
super(config);
this.name = 'openai';
this.apiKey = config.apiKey;
this.model = config.model || 'gpt-4o';
this.model = config.model || 'gpt-5.4';
}
get isConfigured() { return !!this.apiKey; }
@@ -21,7 +21,7 @@ export class OpenAIProvider extends LLMProvider {
},
body: JSON.stringify({
model: this.model,
max_tokens: opts.maxTokens || 4096,
max_completion_tokens: opts.maxTokens || 4096,
messages: [
{ role: 'system', content: systemPrompt },
{ role: 'user', content: userMessage },