Merge branch 'codex/production-intelligence-terminal' into codex/issue-3-acled-diagnostics-auth-tests

.env.example

@@ -36,6 +36,8 @@ ACLED_EMAIL=
 ACLED_PASSWORD=
 CLOUDFLARE_API_TOKEN=
 BLS_API_KEY=
+REDDIT_CLIENT_ID=
+REDDIT_CLIENT_SECRET=
 
 # Telegram bot and alerts
 TELEGRAM_BOT_TOKEN=

.github/CODEOWNERS

@@ -1 +1 @@
-* @calesthio
+* @MrSphay

.github/ISSUE_TEMPLATE/config.yml

@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
 blank_issues_enabled: true
 contact_links:
   - name: Security report
-    url: mailto:celesthioailabs@gmail.com
+    url: https://git.wilkensxl.de/MrSphay/intelligence-terminal
     about: Report security issues privately instead of opening a public issue.

.github/workflows/docker-publish.yml

@@ -1,68 +0,0 @@
-name: Build & Publish Docker Image
-
-on:
-  push:
-    branches: [master]
-    tags: ['v*']
-  pull_request:
-    branches: [master]
-
-env:
-  REGISTRY: ghcr.io
-  IMAGE_NAME: ${{ github.repository }}
-
-jobs:
-  build-and-push:
-    runs-on: ubuntu-latest
-    permissions:
-      contents: read
-      packages: write
-
-    steps:
-      - name: Checkout
-        uses: actions/checkout@v4
-
-      - name: Set up QEMU
-        uses: docker/setup-qemu-action@v3
-
-      - name: Set up Docker Buildx
-        uses: docker/setup-buildx-action@v3
-
-      - name: Log in to GHCR
-        if: github.event_name != 'pull_request'
-        uses: docker/login-action@v3
-        with:
-          registry: ${{ env.REGISTRY }}
-          username: ${{ github.actor }}
-          password: ${{ secrets.GITHUB_TOKEN }}
-
-      - name: Log in to Docker Hub
-        if: github.event_name != 'pull_request' && vars.DOCKERHUB_ENABLED == 'true'
-        uses: docker/login-action@v3
-        with:
-          username: ${{ secrets.DOCKERHUB_USERNAME }}
-          password: ${{ secrets.DOCKERHUB_TOKEN }}
-
-      - name: Extract metadata
-        id: meta
-        uses: docker/metadata-action@v5
-        with:
-          images: |
-            ${{ env.REGISTRY }}/${{ env.IMAGE_NAME }}
-            ${{ vars.DOCKERHUB_ENABLED == 'true' && format('{0}/{1}', secrets.DOCKERHUB_USERNAME, 'crucix') || '' }}
-          tags: |
-            type=raw,value=latest,enable={{is_default_branch}}
-            type=semver,pattern={{version}}
-            type=semver,pattern={{major}}.{{minor}}
-            type=sha,prefix=
-
-      - name: Build and push
-        uses: docker/build-push-action@v6
-        with:
-          context: .
-          platforms: linux/amd64,linux/arm64
-          push: ${{ github.event_name != 'pull_request' }}
-          tags: ${{ steps.meta.outputs.tags }}
-          labels: ${{ steps.meta.outputs.labels }}
-          cache-from: type=gha
-          cache-to: type=gha,mode=max

CONTRIBUTING.md

@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
-# Contributing to Crucix
+# Contributing to Intelligence Terminal
 
-Crucix moves quickly, but review bandwidth is limited. The easiest way to get a change merged is to keep it small, well-scoped, and aligned with the project's direction.
+Intelligence Terminal moves quickly, but review bandwidth is limited. The easiest way to get a change merged is to keep it small, well-scoped, and aligned with the project's private home-server deployment direction.
 
 ## What Contributions Are Most Helpful
 

README.md

@@ -4,22 +4,12 @@
 
 **Your own intelligence terminal. 27 sources. One command. Zero cloud.**
 
-## [Visit The Live Site: crucix.live](https://www.crucix.live/)
-
-[![Live Website](https://img.shields.io/badge/live-crucix.live-00d4ff?style=for-the-badge)](https://www.crucix.live/)
-[![Open Demo](https://img.shields.io/badge/open-live%20dashboard-0b1220?style=for-the-badge&logo=googlechrome&logoColor=white)](https://www.crucix.live/)
-
 [![Node.js 22+](https://img.shields.io/badge/node-22%2B-brightgreen)](#quick-start)
 [![License: AGPL v3](https://img.shields.io/badge/license-AGPLv3-blue.svg)](LICENSE)
 [![Dependencies](https://img.shields.io/badge/dependencies-1%20(express)-orange)](#architecture)
 [![Sources](https://img.shields.io/badge/OSINT%20sources-27-cyan)](#data-sources-27)
 [![Docker](https://img.shields.io/badge/docker-ready-blue?logo=docker)](#docker)
 
-**Enter The Signal Network**
-
-[![Signal Wire](https://img.shields.io/badge/Signal%20Wire-%40crucixmonitor-111111?style=for-the-badge&logo=x&logoColor=white)](https://x.com/crucixmonitor)
-[![Ops Room](https://img.shields.io/badge/Ops%20Room-Discord-5865F2?style=for-the-badge&logo=discord&logoColor=white)](https://discord.gg/ChVy7SF4)
-
 ![Crucix Dashboard](docs/dashboard.png)
 
 <details>
@@ -37,15 +27,13 @@
 
 </div>
 
-> **Live website:** [https://www.crucix.live/](https://www.crucix.live/)
+> **Supported deployment:** private home-server or lab deployment through Docker, Dockge, Pangolin, or local Node.js.
-> Explore the public demo first, then clone the repo to run Crucix locally.
+> Runtime data stays in your configured `runs/` volume and API keys are operator-owned.
 
 Crucix pulls satellite fire detection, flight tracking, radiation monitoring, satellite constellation tracking, economic indicators, live market prices, conflict data, sanctions lists, and social sentiment from 27 open-source intelligence feeds — in parallel, every 15 minutes — and renders everything on a single self-contained Jarvis-style dashboard.
 
 Hook it up to an LLM and it becomes a **two-way intelligence assistant** — pushing multi-tier alerts to Telegram and Discord when something meaningful changes, responding to commands like `/brief` and `/sweep` from your phone, and generating actionable trade ideas grounded in real cross-domain data. Your own analyst that watches the world while you sleep.
 
-Try the live demo first at [https://www.crucix.live/](https://www.crucix.live/), then clone the repo when you want the full local stack.
-
 No cloud. No telemetry. No subscriptions. Just `node server.mjs` and you're running.
 
 ## Token / Asset Warning
@@ -71,8 +59,8 @@ It was built for anyone who wants to understand what's actually happening in the
 
 ```bash
 # 1. Clone the repo
-git clone https://github.com/calesthio/Crucix.git
+git clone ssh://git@git.wilkensxl.de:2222/MrSphay/intelligence-terminal.git
-cd Crucix
+cd intelligence-terminal
 
 # 2. Install dependencies (just Express)
 npm install
@@ -190,6 +178,39 @@ For Pangolin or another reverse proxy, forward HTTP traffic to `intelligence-ter
 
 The dashboard Terminal Actions panel can trigger `status`, `sweep`, and `brief` through `/api/action`. Leave `TERMINAL_ACTIONS_ENABLED=true` for a private home-server deployment. For an internet-exposed deployment, set `SWEEP_TOKEN` and pass it through trusted automation, or set `TERMINAL_ACTIONS_ENABLED=false` to disable browser-triggered actions. If you protect actions with `SWEEP_TOKEN`, the browser can send it from `localStorage.crucix_sweep_token`.
 
+#### Scenario Watchlist
+
+Crucix can track operator hypotheses across sweeps with a runtime scenario file at `runs/scenarios.json`. On first run, the server creates three disabled starter examples:
+
+- Middle East energy shock
+- Macro stress spillover
+- Regional escalation risk
+
+Enable or add scenarios by editing `runs/scenarios.json`:
+
+```json
+{
+  "version": 1,
+  "scenarios": [
+    {
+      "id": "middle-east-energy-shock",
+      "enabled": true,
+      "name": "Middle East energy shock",
+      "description": "Energy supply risk building from regional conflict.",
+      "regions": ["Middle East", "Iran", "Strait of Hormuz"],
+      "categories": ["osint", "energy", "maritime"],
+      "keywords": ["missile", "strike", "hormuz", "oil"],
+      "thresholds": { "watching": 2, "building": 4, "confirmed": 7 },
+      "invalidation": "WTI normalizes and urgent regional signals fade."
+    }
+  ]
+}
+```
+
+Malformed scenario config degrades safely: sweeps continue and the dashboard shows the watchlist as a config issue. Scenario state is persisted in `runs/scenario-state.json`; delete that file to reset state transitions without deleting definitions.
+
+Scenario states are `dormant`, `watching`, `building`, and `confirmed`. The dashboard shows active scenario state, confidence, score, and recent trigger time. Briefings include a `Scenario Watchlist` section when one or more scenarios change state.
+
 #### Build And Publish Your Gitea Image
 
 ```bash
@@ -330,6 +351,9 @@ These three unlock the most valuable economic and satellite data. Each takes abo
 | `ACLED_EMAIL` + `ACLED_PASSWORD` | Armed conflict event data | [acleddata.com/register](https://acleddata.com/register/) — free, OAuth2. `ACLED_USER` / `ACLED_USERNAME` are accepted as email aliases |
 | `AISSTREAM_API_KEY` | Maritime AIS vessel tracking | [aisstream.io](https://aisstream.io/) — free |
 | `ADSB_API_KEY` | Unfiltered flight tracking | [RapidAPI](https://rapidapi.com/adsbexchange/api/adsbexchange-com1) — ~$10/mo |
+| `REDDIT_CLIENT_ID` + `REDDIT_CLIENT_SECRET` | Reddit social sentiment | [reddit.com/prefs/apps](https://www.reddit.com/prefs/apps/) — create a script app |
+
+Reddit is OAuth-only in this fork. If the Reddit credentials are missing or rejected, the Reddit source is reported as degraded and no unauthenticated `reddit.com/.../hot.json` fallback is used.
 
 ### LLM Provider (optional, for AI-enhanced ideas)
 
@@ -643,27 +667,13 @@ To update them: run the dashboard, wait for a sweep to complete, then use your b
 
 Found a bug? Want to add a 28th source? PRs welcome. Each source is a standalone module in `apis/sources/` — just export a `briefing()` function that returns structured data and add it to the orchestrator in `apis/briefing.mjs`.
 
-If you find this useful, a star helps others find it too.
-
 For contribution guidelines, review expectations, and source-add rules, see `CONTRIBUTING.md`. For security reports, see `SECURITY.md`.
 
 ## Contact
 
-For partnerships, integrations, or other non-issue inquiries, you can reach me at `celesthioailabs@gmail.com`.
+For bugs and feature requests, use the Gitea issues in this repository so discussion stays visible and actionable.
 
-For bugs and feature requests, please use GitHub Issues so discussion stays visible and actionable.
+This fork keeps upstream Crucix attribution through the AGPL-3.0 license and commit history while documenting the supported private Gitea/Docker deployment path here.
-
----
-
-## Star History
-
-<a href="https://www.star-history.com/?repos=calesthio%2FCrucix&type=date&legend=top-left">
-  <picture>
-    <source media="(prefers-color-scheme: dark)" srcset="https://api.star-history.com/image?repos=calesthio/Crucix&type=date&theme=dark&legend=top-left" />
-    <source media="(prefers-color-scheme: light)" srcset="https://api.star-history.com/image?repos=calesthio/Crucix&type=date&legend=top-left" />
-    <img alt="Star History Chart" src="https://api.star-history.com/image?repos=calesthio/Crucix&type=date&legend=top-left" />
-  </picture>
-</a>
 
 ---
 

SECURITY.md

@@ -2,13 +2,13 @@
 
 ## Reporting a Vulnerability
 
-If you discover a security issue in Crucix, please report it privately instead of opening a public GitHub issue.
+If you discover a security issue in Intelligence Terminal, please report it privately instead of opening a public issue.
 
-Email: `celesthioailabs@gmail.com`
+Use the private security contact configured for this Gitea repository or contact the repository owner directly.
 
 Use a subject line like:
 
-`[Crucix Security] short description`
+`[Intelligence Terminal Security] short description`
 
 Please include:
 

apis/sources/reddit.mjs

@@ -1,14 +1,15 @@
-// Reddit — social sentiment intelligence
+// Reddit social sentiment intelligence.
-// Reddit now requires OAuth for API access (public JSON API returns 403).
+// Reddit API access requires OAuth. Runtime sweeps intentionally do not use
-// Gracefully degrades when not authenticated.
+// unauthenticated reddit.com .json scraping because it is unreliable and not
-// To enable: register an app at https://www.reddit.com/prefs/apps/ and set
+// acceptable for production operation.
-// REDDIT_CLIENT_ID and REDDIT_CLIENT_SECRET in .env
 
 import { safeFetch } from '../utils/fetch.mjs';
 import '../utils/env.mjs';
 
 function delay(ms) { return new Promise(r => setTimeout(r, ms)); }
 
+const USER_AGENT = 'Crucix/2.0 intelligence-engine';
+
 const SUBREDDITS = [
   'worldnews',
   'geopolitics',
@@ -17,48 +18,95 @@ const SUBREDDITS = [
   'commodities',
 ];
 
-// Get OAuth token using client credentials flow (application-only)
+export function getRedditConfig(env = process.env) {
-async function getToken() {
+  const clientId = env.REDDIT_CLIENT_ID || '';
-  const clientId = process.env.REDDIT_CLIENT_ID;
+  const clientSecret = env.REDDIT_CLIENT_SECRET || '';
-  const clientSecret = process.env.REDDIT_CLIENT_SECRET;
+  const missing = [];
-  if (!clientId || !clientSecret) return null;
+  if (!clientId) missing.push('REDDIT_CLIENT_ID');
+  if (!clientSecret) missing.push('REDDIT_CLIENT_SECRET');
+  return {
+    clientId,
+    clientSecret,
+    configured: missing.length === 0,
+    missing,
+  };
+}
+
+function credentialsMessage(missing) {
+  return `Reddit requires OAuth. Register a script app at https://www.reddit.com/prefs/apps/ and set ${missing.join(' and ')} in .env`;
+}
+
+export async function getToken({ env = process.env, fetchImpl = globalThis.fetch } = {}) {
+  const config = getRedditConfig(env);
+  if (!config.configured) {
+    return {
+      ok: false,
+      status: 'no_credentials',
+      missing: config.missing,
+      error: 'missing_reddit_oauth_credentials',
+      message: credentialsMessage(config.missing),
+    };
+  }
 
   try {
-    const auth = Buffer.from(`${clientId}:${clientSecret}`).toString('base64');
+    const auth = Buffer.from(`${config.clientId}:${config.clientSecret}`).toString('base64');
-    const res = await fetch('https://www.reddit.com/api/v1/access_token', {
+    const res = await fetchImpl('https://www.reddit.com/api/v1/access_token', {
       method: 'POST',
       headers: {
         'Authorization': `Basic ${auth}`,
         'Content-Type': 'application/x-www-form-urlencoded',
-        'User-Agent': 'Crucix/1.0 intelligence-engine',
+        'User-Agent': USER_AGENT,
       },
       body: 'grant_type=client_credentials',
     });
-    if (!res.ok) return null;
+    if (!res.ok) {
+      const body = await res.text().catch(() => '');
+      return {
+        ok: false,
+        status: 'auth_failed',
+        error: `reddit_oauth_http_${res.status}`,
+        message: `Reddit OAuth token request failed with HTTP ${res.status}`,
+        detail: body.slice(0, 200),
+      };
+    }
+
     const data = await res.json();
-    return data.access_token || null;
+    if (!data.access_token) {
-  } catch {
+      return {
-    return null;
+        ok: false,
+        status: 'auth_failed',
+        error: 'reddit_oauth_missing_access_token',
+        message: 'Reddit OAuth token response did not include an access token',
+      };
+    }
+    return { ok: true, status: 'ok', token: data.access_token };
+  } catch (e) {
+    return {
+      ok: false,
+      status: 'auth_failed',
+      error: 'reddit_oauth_request_failed',
+      message: e.message,
+    };
   }
 }
 
-// Fetch hot posts — tries OAuth first, then falls back to public endpoint
 export async function getHot(subreddit, opts = {}) {
   const { limit = 10, token = null } = opts;
 
-  if (token) {
+  if (!token) {
-    // Use OAuth endpoint
+    return {
-    return safeFetch(`https://oauth.reddit.com/r/${subreddit}/hot?limit=${limit}&raw_json=1`, {
+      status: 'no_credentials',
-      headers: {
+      error: 'reddit_oauth_required',
-        'Authorization': `Bearer ${token}`,
+      message: 'Reddit source requires OAuth; unauthenticated reddit.com .json scraping is disabled',
-        'User-Agent': 'Crucix/1.0 intelligence-engine',
+    };
-      },
-    });
   }
 
-  // Try public endpoint (may 403)
+  return safeFetch(`https://oauth.reddit.com/r/${subreddit}/hot?limit=${limit}&raw_json=1`, {
-  return safeFetch(`https://www.reddit.com/r/${subreddit}/hot.json?limit=${limit}&raw_json=1`, {
+    source: 'Reddit',
-    headers: { 'User-Agent': 'Crucix/1.0 intelligence-engine' },
+    headers: {
+      'Authorization': `Bearer ${token}`,
+      'User-Agent': USER_AGENT,
+    },
   });
 }
 
@@ -74,29 +122,46 @@ function compactPost(child) {
   };
 }
 
-export async function briefing() {
+export async function briefing(opts = {}) {
-  const token = await getToken();
+  const {
+    env = process.env,
+    subreddits = SUBREDDITS,
+    delayMs = 1000,
+    fetchImpl = globalThis.fetch,
+  } = opts;
+  const tokenResult = await getToken({ env, fetchImpl });
 
-  if (!token && !process.env.REDDIT_CLIENT_ID) {
+  if (!tokenResult.ok) {
     return {
       source: 'Reddit',
       timestamp: new Date().toISOString(),
-      status: 'no_key',
+      status: tokenResult.status,
-      message: 'Reddit requires OAuth. Register at https://www.reddit.com/prefs/apps/ (script type), set REDDIT_CLIENT_ID and REDDIT_CLIENT_SECRET in .env',
+      error: tokenResult.error,
+      message: tokenResult.message,
+      missing: tokenResult.missing || [],
     };
   }
 
   const subredditResults = {};
-  for (const sub of SUBREDDITS) {
+  const errors = [];
-    const result = await getHot(sub, { limit: 10, token });
+  for (const sub of subreddits) {
+    const result = await getHot(sub, { limit: 10, token: tokenResult.token });
+    if (result?.error) {
+      errors.push({ subreddit: sub, error: result.error });
+      subredditResults[sub] = [];
+      if (delayMs > 0) await delay(delayMs);
+      continue;
+    }
     const children = result?.data?.children || [];
     subredditResults[sub] = children.map(compactPost).filter(Boolean);
-    await delay(token ? 1000 : 2000);
+    if (delayMs > 0) await delay(delayMs);
   }
 
   return {
     source: 'Reddit',
     timestamp: new Date().toISOString(),
+    status: errors.length > 0 ? 'degraded' : 'ok',
+    ...(errors.length > 0 ? { error: 'reddit_subreddit_fetch_failed', errors } : {}),
     subreddits: subredditResults,
   };
 }

dashboard/public/jarvis.html

@@ -1652,6 +1652,14 @@ function renderRight(){
     deltaRows.push(`<div class="delta-row"><span class="delta-badge down">&#9660;</span><span class="delta-label">${s.label||s.key}</span><span class="delta-val">${s.from}→${s.to} (${val})</span></div>`);
   }
   const deltaHtml = hasDelta ? deltaRows.join('') : `<div style="padding:12px;text-align:center;color:var(--dim);font-family:var(--mono);font-size:10px">${t('delta.noChanges','No changes since last sweep')}</div>`;
+  const scenarioItems = (D.scenarios?.items || []).filter(s => s.enabled || s.state !== 'dormant').slice(0,4);
+  const scenarioHtml = scenarioItems.length ? scenarioItems.map(s => `
+    <div class="signal-row">
+      <strong>${s.name} <span class="delta-badge ${s.changed?'new':''}">${(s.state||'dormant').toUpperCase()}</span></strong>
+      <p>${s.description || ''}</p>
+      <div class="layer-sub">${s.confidence || 0}% confidence · score ${s.score || 0}${s.lastTriggerTime ? ' · ' + getAge(s.lastTriggerTime) : ''}</div>
+    </div>
+  `).join('') : `<div style="padding:12px;text-align:center;color:var(--dim);font-family:var(--mono);font-size:10px">No active scenario watchlist items</div>`;
 
   document.getElementById('rightRail').innerHTML=`
     <div class="g-panel right-actions">
@@ -1667,6 +1675,10 @@ function renderRight(){
       <div class="sec-head"><h3>${t('panels.crossSourceSignals','Cross-Source Signals')}</h3><span class="badge">${t('badges.worldview','WORLDVIEW')}</span></div>
       ${signals}
     </div>
+    <div class="g-panel right-scenarios">
+      <div class="sec-head"><h3>Scenario Watchlist</h3><span class="badge">${D.scenarios?.available===false?'CONFIG':'LIVE'}</span></div>
+      ${scenarioHtml}
+    </div>
     ${mobile ? '' : buildOsintPanel('right-osint', 260)}
     <div class="g-panel right-core">
       <div class="sec-head"><h3>${t('panels.signalCore','Signal Core')}</h3><span class="badge">${t('badges.hotMetrics','HOT METRICS')}</span></div>

docs/sources/README.md

@@ -16,3 +16,4 @@ Source docs:
 - [Telegram](telegram.md)
 - [FIRMS](firms.md)
 - [Maritime](maritime.md)
+- [Reddit](reddit.md)

docs/sources/reddit.md

@@ -0,0 +1,33 @@
+# Reddit Source
+
+Reddit is used as a social sentiment input for selected geopolitical and market subreddits.
+
+## Configuration
+
+Create a Reddit script app at:
+
+```text
+https://www.reddit.com/prefs/apps/
+```
+
+Then set:
+
+```env
+REDDIT_CLIENT_ID=
+REDDIT_CLIENT_SECRET=
+```
+
+## Runtime Behavior
+
+- The source uses the OAuth client credentials flow and then reads `https://oauth.reddit.com`.
+- Unauthenticated `reddit.com/.../hot.json` scraping is intentionally disabled.
+- Missing credentials return `status: no_credentials` and are surfaced as source degradation.
+- OAuth failures return `status: auth_failed` without logging or returning the client secret.
+- Subreddit fetch failures return `status: degraded` with per-subreddit errors.
+
+## Test
+
+```bash
+node apis/sources/reddit.mjs
+npm run test:unit
+```

lib/scenarios.mjs

@@ -0,0 +1,212 @@
+import { existsSync, mkdirSync, readFileSync, writeFileSync } from 'fs';
+import { join } from 'path';
+
+const DEFAULT_SCENARIOS = [
+  {
+    id: 'middle-east-energy-shock',
+    enabled: false,
+    name: 'Middle East energy shock',
+    description: 'Energy supply risk building from Middle East conflict or chokepoint pressure.',
+    regions: ['Middle East', 'Iran', 'Israel', 'Strait of Hormuz'],
+    categories: ['osint', 'energy', 'maritime'],
+    keywords: ['missile', 'strike', 'hormuz', 'oil', 'energy', 'blockade'],
+    thresholds: { watching: 2, building: 4, confirmed: 7 },
+    invalidation: 'WTI normalizes and regional urgent signals fade for several sweeps.',
+  },
+  {
+    id: 'macro-stress-spillover',
+    enabled: false,
+    name: 'Macro stress spillover',
+    description: 'Market stress spreads from volatility into credit, rates, or commodities.',
+    regions: ['US', 'Global'],
+    categories: ['macro', 'markets'],
+    keywords: ['vix', 'spread', 'credit', 'yield', 'inflation', 'gold'],
+    thresholds: { watching: 2, building: 4, confirmed: 6 },
+    invalidation: 'VIX and credit stress both normalize while source health remains stable.',
+  },
+  {
+    id: 'regional-escalation-risk',
+    enabled: false,
+    name: 'Regional escalation risk',
+    description: 'Local conflict signals broaden across adjacent regions or source categories.',
+    regions: ['Ukraine', 'Taiwan', 'Africa', 'Middle East'],
+    categories: ['conflict', 'thermal', 'osint', 'air'],
+    keywords: ['mobilization', 'intercept', 'drone', 'ballistic', 'fatalities', 'border'],
+    thresholds: { watching: 2, building: 5, confirmed: 8 },
+    invalidation: 'No fresh cross-source escalation signals appear inside the configured horizon.',
+  },
+];
+
+export function evaluateScenarios(data, delta, runsDir) {
+  const loaded = loadScenarioDefinitions(runsDir);
+  if (!loaded.ok) {
+    return { available: false, error: loaded.error, items: [], changed: [] };
+  }
+
+  const statePath = join(runsDir, 'scenario-state.json');
+  const previous = readJson(statePath, {});
+  const evaluatedAt = data.meta?.timestamp || new Date().toISOString();
+  const corpus = buildCorpus(data, delta);
+  const items = loaded.scenarios.map(def => evaluateScenario(def, corpus, previous[def.id], evaluatedAt));
+  const changed = items.filter(item => item.changed);
+
+  writeJson(statePath, Object.fromEntries(items.map(item => [item.id, {
+    state: item.state,
+    score: item.score,
+    confidence: item.confidence,
+    lastTriggerTime: item.lastTriggerTime,
+    updatedAt: evaluatedAt,
+  }])));
+
+  return {
+    available: true,
+    path: loaded.path,
+    items,
+    changed,
+  };
+}
+
+export function loadScenarioDefinitions(runsDir) {
+  const path = join(runsDir, 'scenarios.json');
+  try {
+    if (!existsSync(runsDir)) mkdirSync(runsDir, { recursive: true });
+    if (!existsSync(path)) {
+      writeJson(path, {
+        version: 1,
+        scenarios: DEFAULT_SCENARIOS,
+      });
+    }
+    const raw = JSON.parse(readFileSync(path, 'utf8'));
+    if (!raw || !Array.isArray(raw.scenarios)) throw new Error('scenarios must be an array');
+    const scenarios = raw.scenarios
+      .map(normalizeScenario)
+      .filter(Boolean);
+    return { ok: true, path, scenarios };
+  } catch (err) {
+    return { ok: false, path, error: err.message };
+  }
+}
+
+function normalizeScenario(input) {
+  if (!input || typeof input !== 'object') return null;
+  const id = String(input.id || input.name || '').trim().toLowerCase().replace(/[^a-z0-9]+/g, '-').replace(/^-|-$/g, '');
+  const name = String(input.name || input.id || '').trim();
+  if (!id || !name) return null;
+  const thresholds = input.thresholds || {};
+  return {
+    id,
+    enabled: input.enabled === true,
+    name,
+    description: String(input.description || ''),
+    regions: arrayOfStrings(input.regions),
+    categories: arrayOfStrings(input.categories),
+    keywords: arrayOfStrings(input.keywords).map(s => s.toLowerCase()),
+    thresholds: {
+      watching: Number(thresholds.watching || 2),
+      building: Number(thresholds.building || 4),
+      confirmed: Number(thresholds.confirmed || 7),
+    },
+    invalidation: String(input.invalidation || ''),
+  };
+}
+
+function evaluateScenario(def, corpus, previous, evaluatedAt) {
+  if (!def.enabled) {
+    return {
+      ...publicScenario(def),
+      state: 'dormant',
+      score: 0,
+      confidence: 0,
+      evidence: [],
+      changed: previous?.state && previous.state !== 'dormant',
+      lastTriggerTime: previous?.lastTriggerTime || null,
+    };
+  }
+
+  const evidence = [];
+  let score = 0;
+  for (const keyword of def.keywords) {
+    const hit = corpus.entries.find(entry => entry.text.includes(keyword));
+    if (hit) {
+      score += 1;
+      evidence.push({ type: 'keyword', label: keyword, source: hit.source, text: hit.original.slice(0, 180) });
+    }
+  }
+  for (const region of def.regions) {
+    const needle = region.toLowerCase();
+    const hit = corpus.entries.find(entry => entry.text.includes(needle));
+    if (hit) {
+      score += 1;
+      evidence.push({ type: 'region', label: region, source: hit.source, text: hit.original.slice(0, 180) });
+    }
+  }
+  for (const category of def.categories) {
+    if (corpus.categories.has(category.toLowerCase())) {
+      score += 1;
+      evidence.push({ type: 'category', label: category, source: 'sweep', text: `${category} category active` });
+    }
+  }
+
+  const state = score >= def.thresholds.confirmed ? 'confirmed'
+    : score >= def.thresholds.building ? 'building'
+      : score >= def.thresholds.watching ? 'watching'
+        : 'dormant';
+  const confidence = Math.min(100, Math.round((score / Math.max(1, def.thresholds.confirmed)) * 100));
+  const changed = previous?.state ? previous.state !== state : state !== 'dormant';
+  return {
+    ...publicScenario(def),
+    state,
+    score,
+    confidence,
+    evidence: evidence.slice(0, 6),
+    changed,
+    lastTriggerTime: state === 'dormant' ? (previous?.lastTriggerTime || null) : evaluatedAt,
+  };
+}
+
+function publicScenario(def) {
+  return {
+    id: def.id,
+    name: def.name,
+    description: def.description,
+    enabled: def.enabled,
+    invalidation: def.invalidation,
+  };
+}
+
+function buildCorpus(data, delta) {
+  const entries = [];
+  const categories = new Set();
+  const push = (source, text, category) => {
+    if (!text) return;
+    entries.push({ source, original: String(text), text: String(text).toLowerCase() });
+    if (category) categories.add(category);
+  };
+
+  for (const signal of data.tSignals || []) push('thermal', signal, 'thermal');
+  for (const post of data.tg?.urgent || []) push(post.channel || 'telegram', post.text, 'osint');
+  for (const item of data.newsFeed || []) push(item.source || 'news', item.headline || item.title, 'news');
+  for (const item of data.news || []) push(item.source || 'news', item.headline || item.title, 'news');
+  for (const item of data.acled?.deadliestEvents || []) push('ACLED', `${item.country || ''} ${item.location || ''} ${item.event_type || ''} ${item.fatalities || ''}`, 'conflict');
+  for (const item of data.air || []) push('OpenSky', `${item.region} ${item.total} aircraft`, 'air');
+  for (const item of data.chokepoints || []) push('Maritime', `${item.label} ${item.note}`, 'maritime');
+  if (data.energy?.wti || data.energy?.brent) push('energy', `WTI ${data.energy.wti} Brent ${data.energy.brent}`, 'energy');
+  if (data.markets?.vix || data.fred?.some(f => f.id === 'VIXCLS')) push('markets', 'VIX volatility market stress', 'markets');
+  if (delta?.summary) push('delta', `${delta.summary.direction} ${delta.summary.totalChanges} changes ${delta.summary.criticalChanges} critical`, 'delta');
+  for (const signal of delta?.signals?.new || []) push('delta', signal.label || signal.reason || signal.key, 'delta');
+  for (const signal of delta?.signals?.escalated || []) push('delta', signal.label || signal.reason || signal.key, 'delta');
+
+  return { entries, categories };
+}
+
+function arrayOfStrings(value) {
+  return Array.isArray(value) ? value.map(v => String(v).trim()).filter(Boolean) : [];
+}
+
+function readJson(path, fallback) {
+  try { return JSON.parse(readFileSync(path, 'utf8')); } catch { return fallback; }
+}
+
+function writeJson(path, value) {
+  writeFileSync(path, JSON.stringify(value, null, 2));
+}

package.json

@@ -12,7 +12,7 @@
     "brief:save": "node apis/save-briefing.mjs",
     "diag": "node diag.mjs",
     "test": "npm run test:unit",
-    "test:unit": "node --test test/llm-openrouter.test.mjs test/llm-ollama.test.mjs test/llm-openai-compatible.test.mjs test/fetch-utils.test.mjs",
+    "test:unit": "node --test test/llm-openrouter.test.mjs test/llm-ollama.test.mjs test/llm-openai-compatible.test.mjs test/fetch-utils.test.mjs test/reddit-source.test.mjs",
     "compose:config": "docker compose config",
     "clean": "node scripts/clean.mjs",
     "fresh-start": "npm run clean && npm start"

server.mjs

@@ -18,6 +18,7 @@ import { TelegramAlerter } from './lib/alerts/telegram.mjs';
 import { DiscordAlerter } from './lib/alerts/discord.mjs';
 import { getFetchMetrics } from './apis/utils/fetch.mjs';
 import { IntelligenceStore } from './lib/intelligence-store.mjs';
+import { evaluateScenarios } from './lib/scenarios.mjs';
 
 const __dirname = dirname(fileURLToPath(import.meta.url));
 const ROOT = __dirname;
@@ -447,6 +448,13 @@ function buildBrief(data) {
     lines.push('', '*Why This Matters*');
     for (const idea of ideas) lines.push(`- ${idea.title}: ${(idea.rationale || idea.text || '').slice(0, 140)}`);
   }
+  const scenarioChanges = data.scenarios?.changed || [];
+  if (scenarioChanges.length) {
+    lines.push('', '*Scenario Watchlist*');
+    for (const scenario of scenarioChanges.slice(0, 4)) {
+      lines.push(`- ${scenario.name}: ${scenario.state.toUpperCase()} (${scenario.confidence}% confidence)`);
+    }
+  }
   lines.push('', '*What To Do Next*', '- Open the dashboard, verify the evidence links, and compare source health before acting.');
   return lines.join('\n');
 }
@@ -493,6 +501,7 @@ async function runSweepCycle() {
     // 4. Delta computation + memory
     const delta = memory.addRun(synthesized);
     synthesized.delta = delta;
+    synthesized.scenarios = evaluateScenarios(synthesized, delta, RUNS_DIR);
 
     // 5. LLM-powered trade ideas (LLM-only feature) — isolated so failures don't kill sweep
     if (llmProvider?.isConfigured) {

test/fetch-utils.test.mjs

@@ -1,5 +1,6 @@
 import test from 'node:test';
 import assert from 'node:assert/strict';
+import { readFileSync } from 'node:fs';
 import { safeFetch, safeFetchText, getFetchMetrics } from '../apis/utils/fetch.mjs';
 
 test('safeFetch reports HTML as degraded JSON response', async () => {
@@ -34,3 +35,18 @@ test('safeFetchText returns text and byte count', async () => {
     globalThis.fetch = originalFetch;
   }
 });
+
+test('scenario watchlist feature is wired into sweep, briefing, and dashboard', () => {
+  const scenarios = readFileSync(new URL('../lib/scenarios.mjs', import.meta.url), 'utf8');
+  const server = readFileSync(new URL('../server.mjs', import.meta.url), 'utf8');
+  const html = readFileSync(new URL('../dashboard/public/jarvis.html', import.meta.url), 'utf8');
+  const readme = readFileSync(new URL('../README.md', import.meta.url), 'utf8');
+  assert.match(scenarios, /DEFAULT_SCENARIOS/);
+  assert.match(scenarios, /runsDir, 'scenarios\.json'/);
+  assert.match(scenarios, /scenario-state\.json/);
+  assert.match(scenarios, /watching.*building.*confirmed/s);
+  assert.match(server, /evaluateScenarios\(synthesized, delta, RUNS_DIR\)/);
+  assert.match(server, /\*Scenario Watchlist\*/);
+  assert.match(html, /Scenario Watchlist/);
+  assert.match(readme, /runs\/scenarios\.json/);
+});

test/reddit-source.test.mjs

@@ -0,0 +1,109 @@
+import test from 'node:test';
+import assert from 'node:assert/strict';
+import { briefing, getHot, getRedditConfig, getToken } from '../apis/sources/reddit.mjs';
+
+test('Reddit reports missing OAuth credentials without network access', async () => {
+  let calls = 0;
+  const data = await briefing({
+    env: {},
+    delayMs: 0,
+    fetchImpl: async () => {
+      calls++;
+      throw new Error('unexpected network access');
+    },
+  });
+
+  assert.equal(calls, 0);
+  assert.equal(data.status, 'no_credentials');
+  assert.equal(data.error, 'missing_reddit_oauth_credentials');
+  assert.deepEqual(data.missing, ['REDDIT_CLIENT_ID', 'REDDIT_CLIENT_SECRET']);
+});
+
+test('Reddit hot posts require OAuth token and never use public JSON fallback', async () => {
+  const originalFetch = globalThis.fetch;
+  let calledUrl = null;
+  globalThis.fetch = async url => {
+    calledUrl = url;
+    throw new Error('unexpected public fallback');
+  };
+
+  try {
+    const data = await getHot('worldnews');
+    assert.equal(calledUrl, null);
+    assert.equal(data.status, 'no_credentials');
+    assert.equal(data.error, 'reddit_oauth_required');
+  } finally {
+    globalThis.fetch = originalFetch;
+  }
+});
+
+test('Reddit classifies OAuth HTTP failure without exposing secrets', async () => {
+  const result = await getToken({
+    env: { REDDIT_CLIENT_ID: 'client-id', REDDIT_CLIENT_SECRET: 'client-secret' },
+    fetchImpl: async () => ({
+      ok: false,
+      status: 401,
+      text: async () => 'invalid client',
+    }),
+  });
+
+  assert.equal(result.ok, false);
+  assert.equal(result.status, 'auth_failed');
+  assert.equal(result.error, 'reddit_oauth_http_401');
+  assert.doesNotMatch(JSON.stringify(result), /client-secret/);
+});
+
+test('Reddit fetches hot posts through oauth.reddit.com when configured', async () => {
+  const originalFetch = globalThis.fetch;
+  const urls = [];
+  globalThis.fetch = async url => {
+    urls.push(String(url));
+    if (String(url).includes('/api/v1/access_token')) {
+      return {
+        ok: true,
+        status: 200,
+        json: async () => ({ access_token: 'test-token' }),
+      };
+    }
+    return {
+      ok: true,
+      status: 200,
+      headers: { get: () => 'application/json' },
+      text: async () => JSON.stringify({
+        data: {
+          children: [
+            {
+              data: {
+                title: 'Market stress headline',
+                score: 42,
+                num_comments: 7,
+                url: 'https://example.test/post',
+                created_utc: 1700000000,
+              },
+            },
+          ],
+        },
+      }),
+    };
+  };
+
+  try {
+    const data = await briefing({
+      env: { REDDIT_CLIENT_ID: 'client-id', REDDIT_CLIENT_SECRET: 'client-secret' },
+      subreddits: ['worldnews'],
+      delayMs: 0,
+    });
+
+    assert.equal(data.status, 'ok');
+    assert.equal(data.subreddits.worldnews[0].title, 'Market stress headline');
+    assert.ok(urls.some(url => url === 'https://www.reddit.com/api/v1/access_token'));
+    assert.ok(urls.some(url => url.startsWith('https://oauth.reddit.com/r/worldnews/hot')));
+    assert.equal(urls.some(url => url.includes('hot.json')), false);
+  } finally {
+    globalThis.fetch = originalFetch;
+  }
+});
+
+test('Reddit config reports partial credential state', () => {
+  assert.deepEqual(getRedditConfig({ REDDIT_CLIENT_ID: 'id' }).missing, ['REDDIT_CLIENT_SECRET']);
+});