diff --git a/README.md b/README.md
index 55e9e91..fffd910 100644
--- a/README.md
+++ b/README.md
@@ -204,6 +204,36 @@ Action endpoints reject cross-origin POST origins, apply a small in-memory per-I
When data remains stale past `STALE_DATA_MAX_AGE_MINUTES`, the server sends an operator alert through configured Telegram/Discord channels after failed or degraded sweep attempts. `STALE_ALERT_COOLDOWN_MINUTES` prevents repeated stale alerts from spamming every refresh interval. Set `DASHBOARD_URL` to the Pangolin/public URL you want included in those alerts.
+#### Memory And Prediction Loop
+
+Crucix stores longitudinal memory in `runs/intelligence.db` when the current Node.js build exposes `node:sqlite`. If SQLite is unavailable, the file is created as a harmless placeholder and `/api/health` reports the memory store as unavailable instead of failing the sweep.
+
+The memory layer persists:
+
+| Table | Purpose |
+| --- | --- |
+| `runs` | Sweep timestamps, source health counts, and delta direction summaries. |
+| `entities` | Stable entity IDs for recurring countries, regions, and locations. |
+| `events` | Stable event IDs for conflict, OSINT, urgent news, and new delta signals across sweeps. |
+| `predictions` | Trade/intelligence hypotheses with evidence, confidence, horizon, outcome state, and latest grading. |
+
+Query endpoints:
+
+```text
+GET /api/memory/search?q=iran&limit=25
+GET /api/memory/predictions?state=open&limit=25
+```
+
+Memory endpoints use the same operator authorization gate as Terminal Actions. The dashboard Terminal Actions panel includes a `Memory` action for a quick operator-facing view of recent events and prediction states.
+
+Retention, backup, and privacy expectations:
+
+- Treat `runs/intelligence.db` as operator data. It can contain source excerpts, headlines, generated hypotheses, and URLs from your configured feeds.
+- Back up `runs/` with the rest of your Dockge volume if you want longitudinal learning to survive container replacement.
+- Delete `runs/intelligence.db` to reset SQLite memory; the next sweep recreates the schema.
+- Do not commit `runs/` or `.env`. API credentials stay in `.env`; memory stores derived observations, not secrets.
+- If you expose the dashboard through a reverse proxy, protect Terminal Actions and memory queries behind your normal authentication boundary.
+
#### Scenario Watchlist
Intelligence Terminal can track operator hypotheses across sweeps with a runtime scenario file at `runs/scenarios.json`. On first run, the server creates three disabled starter examples:
diff --git a/dashboard/public/jarvis.html b/dashboard/public/jarvis.html
index 4f2f7bd..cb0b228 100644
--- a/dashboard/public/jarvis.html
+++ b/dashboard/public/jarvis.html
@@ -83,7 +83,7 @@ html,body{height:100%;background:var(--bg);color:var(--text);font-family:var(--s
.sensor-actions{display:flex;gap:6px;align-items:center}
.mini-btn{border:1px solid rgba(100,240,200,0.18);background:rgba(100,240,200,0.04);color:var(--dim);font-family:var(--mono);font-size:9px;padding:3px 6px;cursor:pointer}
.mini-btn:hover{color:var(--accent);border-color:rgba(100,240,200,0.4)}
-.action-grid{display:grid;grid-template-columns:repeat(3,1fr);gap:6px;margin-bottom:10px}
+.action-grid{display:grid;grid-template-columns:repeat(4,1fr);gap:6px;margin-bottom:10px}
.action-btn{border:1px solid rgba(68,204,255,0.24);background:rgba(68,204,255,0.06);color:var(--text);font-family:var(--mono);font-size:9px;padding:7px 6px;cursor:pointer;text-transform:uppercase;letter-spacing:.08em}
.action-btn:hover{border-color:rgba(68,204,255,0.55);color:var(--accent2);background:rgba(68,204,255,0.12)}
.action-btn[disabled]{opacity:.45;cursor:wait}
@@ -1641,6 +1641,17 @@ async function runTerminalAction(action){
].join('\n');
}else if(action === 'brief'){
terminalOutput = `> brief\n${payload.text || 'No briefing text returned.'}`;
+ }else if(action === 'memory'){
+ const events = payload.recentEvents || [];
+ const predictions = payload.predictions || [];
+ terminalOutput = [
+ '> memory',
+ `Store: ${payload.memory?.available ? 'available' : 'unavailable'}`,
+ `Recent events: ${events.length}`,
+ ...events.slice(0,4).map(e => `- ${e.kind}: ${e.name}${e.region ? ' [' + e.region + ']' : ''}`),
+ `Predictions: ${predictions.length}`,
+ ...predictions.slice(0,4).map(p => `- ${p.outcome_state || 'open'}: ${p.title}`)
+ ].join('\n');
}else if(action === 'sweep'){
terminalOutput = `> sweep\n${payload.status === 'already_running' ? 'Sweep already running.' : 'Sweep accepted. The dashboard will update when the sweep finishes.'}`;
}
@@ -1707,6 +1718,7 @@ function renderRight(){
Status
Sweep
Brief
+ Memory
Configure token
${terminalOutput.replace(/[&<>]/g,c=>({'&':'&','<':'<','>':'>'}[c])).replace(/\n/g,' ')}
diff --git a/lib/intelligence-store.mjs b/lib/intelligence-store.mjs
index 10daf40..fff20d3 100644
--- a/lib/intelligence-store.mjs
+++ b/lib/intelligence-store.mjs
@@ -2,6 +2,9 @@
import { existsSync, mkdirSync, writeFileSync } from 'fs';
import { dirname, join } from 'path';
+import { createHash } from 'crypto';
+
+const PREDICTION_STATES = new Set(['open', 'monitoring', 'observed', 'expired_unverified', 'invalidated']);
export class IntelligenceStore {
constructor(dbPath) {
@@ -30,15 +33,24 @@ export class IntelligenceStore {
);
CREATE TABLE IF NOT EXISTS predictions (
id INTEGER PRIMARY KEY AUTOINCREMENT,
+ stable_id TEXT UNIQUE,
created_at TEXT NOT NULL,
+ updated_at TEXT,
title TEXT NOT NULL,
type TEXT,
+ hypothesis TEXT,
+ evidence_json TEXT,
confidence TEXT,
+ horizon TEXT,
+ outcome_state TEXT DEFAULT 'open',
+ outcome_json TEXT,
+ last_evaluated_at TEXT,
source TEXT,
payload_json TEXT NOT NULL
);
CREATE TABLE IF NOT EXISTS entities (
id INTEGER PRIMARY KEY AUTOINCREMENT,
+ stable_id TEXT UNIQUE,
first_seen TEXT NOT NULL,
last_seen TEXT NOT NULL,
name TEXT NOT NULL,
@@ -46,7 +58,21 @@ export class IntelligenceStore {
count INTEGER DEFAULT 1,
UNIQUE(name, kind)
);
+ CREATE TABLE IF NOT EXISTS events (
+ id INTEGER PRIMARY KEY AUTOINCREMENT,
+ stable_id TEXT NOT NULL UNIQUE,
+ first_seen TEXT NOT NULL,
+ last_seen TEXT NOT NULL,
+ kind TEXT NOT NULL,
+ name TEXT NOT NULL,
+ region TEXT,
+ severity TEXT,
+ source TEXT,
+ evidence_json TEXT NOT NULL,
+ count INTEGER DEFAULT 1
+ );
`);
+ this._migrate();
this.available = true;
} catch (err) {
this.available = false;
@@ -71,24 +97,141 @@ export class IntelligenceStore {
delta?.summary?.direction || null,
JSON.stringify({ meta, delta: delta?.summary || null }),
);
- for (const idea of data.ideas || []) {
- this.db.prepare(`INSERT INTO predictions (created_at, title, type, confidence, source, payload_json)
- VALUES (?, ?, ?, ?, ?, ?)`).run(
- timestamp,
- idea.title || 'Untitled idea',
- idea.type || null,
- idea.confidence || null,
- idea.source || data.ideasSource || null,
- JSON.stringify(idea),
- );
- }
this._recordEntities(data, timestamp);
+ this._recordEvents(data, delta, timestamp);
+ this.evaluatePredictions(data, timestamp);
+ this._recordPredictions(data, timestamp);
}
status() {
return { available: this.available, path: this.dbPath, reason: this.reason };
}
+ queryMemory({ q = '', limit = 25 } = {}) {
+ if (!this.available || !this.db) return { available: false, reason: this.reason, results: [] };
+ const safeLimit = Math.max(1, Math.min(100, Number(limit) || 25));
+ const term = String(q || '').trim();
+ const like = `%${term}%`;
+ const where = term
+ ? 'WHERE name LIKE ? OR region LIKE ? OR source LIKE ? OR kind LIKE ?'
+ : '';
+ const params = term ? [like, like, like, like, safeLimit] : [safeLimit];
+ const events = this.db.prepare(`
+ SELECT stable_id, first_seen, last_seen, kind, name, region, severity, source, count, evidence_json
+ FROM events
+ ${where}
+ ORDER BY last_seen DESC
+ LIMIT ?
+ `).all(...params).map(row => ({ ...row, evidence: parseJson(row.evidence_json, {}) }));
+ return { available: true, q: term, results: events };
+ }
+
+ listPredictions({ state = null, limit = 25 } = {}) {
+ if (!this.available || !this.db) return { available: false, reason: this.reason, predictions: [] };
+ const safeLimit = Math.max(1, Math.min(100, Number(limit) || 25));
+ const normalizedState = state && PREDICTION_STATES.has(String(state)) ? String(state) : null;
+ const rows = normalizedState
+ ? this.db.prepare(`SELECT * FROM predictions WHERE outcome_state = ? ORDER BY created_at DESC LIMIT ?`).all(normalizedState, safeLimit)
+ : this.db.prepare(`SELECT * FROM predictions ORDER BY created_at DESC LIMIT ?`).all(safeLimit);
+ return {
+ available: true,
+ predictions: rows.map(row => ({
+ stable_id: row.stable_id,
+ created_at: row.created_at,
+ updated_at: row.updated_at,
+ title: row.title,
+ type: row.type,
+ hypothesis: row.hypothesis,
+ confidence: row.confidence,
+ horizon: row.horizon,
+ outcome_state: row.outcome_state,
+ last_evaluated_at: row.last_evaluated_at,
+ source: row.source,
+ evidence: parseJson(row.evidence_json, []),
+ outcome: parseJson(row.outcome_json, null),
+ })),
+ };
+ }
+
+ evaluatePredictions(data, timestamp = new Date().toISOString()) {
+ if (!this.available || !this.db) return;
+ const rows = this.db.prepare(`
+ SELECT id, created_at, title, type, horizon, outcome_state, payload_json
+ FROM predictions
+ WHERE outcome_state IN ('open', 'monitoring')
+ ORDER BY created_at ASC
+ LIMIT 200
+ `).all();
+ for (const row of rows) {
+ const payload = parseJson(row.payload_json, {});
+ const evaluation = evaluatePredictionAgainstSweep(row, payload, data, timestamp);
+ this.db.prepare(`UPDATE predictions
+ SET outcome_state = ?, outcome_json = ?, last_evaluated_at = ?, updated_at = ?
+ WHERE id = ?`).run(
+ evaluation.state,
+ JSON.stringify(evaluation),
+ timestamp,
+ timestamp,
+ row.id,
+ );
+ }
+ }
+
+ _migrate() {
+ const columns = {
+ predictions: [
+ ['stable_id', 'TEXT'],
+ ['updated_at', 'TEXT'],
+ ['hypothesis', 'TEXT'],
+ ['evidence_json', 'TEXT'],
+ ['horizon', 'TEXT'],
+ ['outcome_state', "TEXT DEFAULT 'open'"],
+ ['outcome_json', 'TEXT'],
+ ['last_evaluated_at', 'TEXT'],
+ ],
+ entities: [
+ ['stable_id', 'TEXT'],
+ ],
+ };
+ for (const [table, defs] of Object.entries(columns)) {
+ for (const [name, type] of defs) {
+ try { this.db.exec(`ALTER TABLE ${table} ADD COLUMN ${name} ${type}`); } catch { }
+ }
+ }
+ try { this.db.exec(`CREATE UNIQUE INDEX IF NOT EXISTS idx_predictions_stable_id ON predictions(stable_id)`); } catch { }
+ try { this.db.exec(`CREATE UNIQUE INDEX IF NOT EXISTS idx_entities_stable_id ON entities(stable_id)`); } catch { }
+ }
+
+ _recordPredictions(data, timestamp) {
+ for (const idea of data.ideas || []) {
+ const title = idea.title || 'Untitled idea';
+ const stableId = stableId('prediction', title, idea.type || '', idea.ticker || '', idea.horizon || '');
+ const evidence = Array.isArray(idea.signals) ? idea.signals : [];
+ this.db.prepare(`INSERT INTO predictions (
+ stable_id, created_at, updated_at, title, type, hypothesis, evidence_json, confidence,
+ horizon, outcome_state, source, payload_json
+ )
+ VALUES (?, ?, ?, ?, ?, ?, ?, ?, ?, 'open', ?, ?)
+ ON CONFLICT(stable_id) DO UPDATE SET
+ updated_at=excluded.updated_at,
+ confidence=excluded.confidence,
+ evidence_json=excluded.evidence_json,
+ payload_json=excluded.payload_json`).run(
+ stableId,
+ timestamp,
+ timestamp,
+ title,
+ idea.type || null,
+ idea.rationale || idea.text || title,
+ JSON.stringify(evidence),
+ idea.confidence || null,
+ idea.horizon || null,
+ idea.source || data.ideasSource || null,
+ JSON.stringify(idea),
+ );
+ }
+ }
+
_recordEntities(data, timestamp) {
const names = [];
for (const item of data.acled?.deadliestEvents || []) {
@@ -99,14 +242,154 @@ export class IntelligenceStore {
if (item.region) names.push([item.region, 'region']);
}
for (const [name, kind] of names.slice(0, 200)) {
- this.db.prepare(`INSERT INTO entities (first_seen, last_seen, name, kind, count)
- VALUES (?, ?, ?, ?, 1)
+ const cleanName = String(name).slice(0, 160);
+ this.db.prepare(`INSERT INTO entities (stable_id, first_seen, last_seen, name, kind, count)
+ VALUES (?, ?, ?, ?, ?, 1)
ON CONFLICT(name, kind) DO UPDATE SET last_seen=excluded.last_seen, count=count+1`).run(
+ stableId('entity', kind, cleanName),
timestamp,
timestamp,
- String(name).slice(0, 160),
+ cleanName,
kind,
);
}
}
+
+ _recordEvents(data, delta, timestamp) {
+ const events = extractEvents(data, delta);
+ for (const event of events.slice(0, 300)) {
+ this.db.prepare(`INSERT INTO events (
+ stable_id, first_seen, last_seen, kind, name, region, severity, source, evidence_json, count
+ )
+ VALUES (?, ?, ?, ?, ?, ?, ?, ?, ?, 1)
+ ON CONFLICT(stable_id) DO UPDATE SET
+ last_seen=excluded.last_seen,
+ severity=COALESCE(excluded.severity, severity),
+ evidence_json=excluded.evidence_json,
+ count=count+1`).run(
+ event.stable_id,
+ timestamp,
+ timestamp,
+ event.kind,
+ event.name,
+ event.region || null,
+ event.severity || null,
+ event.source || null,
+ JSON.stringify(event.evidence || {}),
+ );
+ }
+ }
+}
+
+function stableId(...parts) {
+ const input = parts.map(part => String(part || '').trim().toLowerCase()).join('|');
+ return createHash('sha256').update(input).digest('hex').slice(0, 24);
+}
+
+function parseJson(value, fallback) {
+ try { return value ? JSON.parse(value) : fallback; } catch { return fallback; }
+}
+
+function extractEvents(data, delta) {
+ const events = [];
+ const push = ({ kind, name, region, severity, source, evidence }) => {
+ if (!kind || !name) return;
+ events.push({
+ stable_id: stableId('event', kind, name, region || source || ''),
+ kind,
+ name: String(name).slice(0, 240),
+ region: region ? String(region).slice(0, 120) : null,
+ severity: severity || null,
+ source: source || null,
+ evidence: evidence || {},
+ });
+ };
+
+ for (const item of data.acled?.deadliestEvents || []) {
+ push({
+ kind: 'conflict',
+ name: item.event_type || item.sub_event_type || item.location || item.country,
+ region: item.country || item.location,
+ severity: Number(item.fatalities || 0) > 0 ? 'high' : 'medium',
+ source: 'ACLED',
+ evidence: item,
+ });
+ }
+ for (const item of data.tg?.urgent || []) {
+ push({
+ kind: 'osint',
+ name: (item.text || '').slice(0, 120),
+ region: item.region || 'OSINT',
+ severity: 'high',
+ source: item.channel || item.chat || 'telegram',
+ evidence: item,
+ });
+ }
+ for (const item of data.newsFeed || data.news || []) {
+ if (!item.urgent) continue;
+ push({
+ kind: 'news',
+ name: item.headline || item.title,
+ region: item.region,
+ severity: 'medium',
+ source: item.source,
+ evidence: item,
+ });
+ }
+ for (const signal of delta?.signals?.new || []) {
+ push({
+ kind: 'delta',
+ name: signal.label || signal.reason || signal.key,
+ region: signal.region,
+ severity: signal.severity || 'medium',
+ source: 'delta',
+ evidence: signal,
+ });
+ }
+ return events;
+}
+
+function evaluatePredictionAgainstSweep(row, payload, data, timestamp) {
+ const terms = [
+ row.title,
+ payload.ticker,
+ ...(Array.isArray(payload.signals) ? payload.signals : []),
+ ].filter(Boolean).map(v => String(v).toLowerCase());
+ const evidenceText = [
+ ...(data.tSignals || []),
+ ...(data.newsFeed || []).slice(0, 40).map(n => `${n.source || ''} ${n.headline || n.title || ''}`),
+ ...(data.tg?.urgent || []).slice(0, 20).map(p => p.text || ''),
+ ].join('\n').toLowerCase();
+ const matched = terms.filter(term => term.length >= 4 && evidenceText.includes(term.slice(0, 60)));
+ const expired = predictionExpired(row.created_at, row.horizon, timestamp);
+ const state = matched.length
+ ? 'observed'
+ : expired
+ ? 'expired_unverified'
+ : 'monitoring';
+ return {
+ state,
+ evaluated_at: timestamp,
+ matched_terms: matched.slice(0, 10),
+ expired,
+ reason: matched.length
+ ? 'Current sweep contains matching evidence terms.'
+ : expired
+ ? 'Prediction horizon elapsed without matching evidence.'
+ : 'Prediction remains open for future sweeps.',
+ };
+}
+
+function predictionExpired(createdAt, horizon, nowIso) {
+ const created = new Date(createdAt).getTime();
+ const now = new Date(nowIso).getTime();
+ if (!Number.isFinite(created) || !Number.isFinite(now)) return false;
+ const text = String(horizon || '').toLowerCase();
+ const days = text.includes('intraday') ? 1
+ : text.includes('day') ? 7
+ : text.includes('week') ? 45
+ : text.includes('month') ? 180
+ : text.includes('strategic') ? 365
+ : 30;
+ return now - created > days * 24 * 60 * 60 * 1000;
}
diff --git a/server.mjs b/server.mjs
index 180a550..d9e0a3f 100644
--- a/server.mjs
+++ b/server.mjs
@@ -292,6 +292,26 @@ app.get('/api/metrics', (req, res) => {
});
});
+app.get('/api/memory/search', (req, res) => {
+ const guard = authorizeTerminalAction(req, res, 'memory:search');
+ if (!guard.ok) return;
+ auditTerminalAction(req, 'memory:search', 'ok');
+ res.json(intelligenceStore.queryMemory({
+ q: req.query.q || '',
+ limit: req.query.limit || 25,
+ }));
+});
+
+app.get('/api/memory/predictions', (req, res) => {
+ const guard = authorizeTerminalAction(req, res, 'memory:predictions');
+ if (!guard.ok) return;
+ auditTerminalAction(req, 'memory:predictions', 'ok');
+ res.json(intelligenceStore.listPredictions({
+ state: req.query.state || null,
+ limit: req.query.limit || 25,
+ }));
+});
+
app.post('/api/sweep', express.json(), (req, res) => {
const guard = authorizeTerminalAction(req, res, 'sweep');
if (!guard.ok) return;
@@ -318,10 +338,21 @@ app.post('/api/action', express.json(), (req, res) => {
return res.json({ ok: true, action, status: 'ok', brief, text: brief });
}
+ if (action === 'memory') {
+ auditTerminalAction(req, 'memory', 'ok');
+ return res.json({
+ ok: true,
+ action,
+ memory: intelligenceStore.status(),
+ recentEvents: intelligenceStore.queryMemory({ q: req.body?.q || '', limit: 8 }).results,
+ predictions: intelligenceStore.listPredictions({ limit: 8 }).predictions,
+ });
+ }
+
if (action === 'sweep') return triggerSweepAction(req, res, 'action:sweep');
auditTerminalAction(req, action || 'unknown', 'rejected', 'unknown_action');
- return res.status(400).json({ ok: false, error: 'Unknown action', allowed: ['status', 'brief', 'sweep'], actions: ['status', 'brief', 'sweep'] });
+ return res.status(400).json({ ok: false, error: 'Unknown action', allowed: ['status', 'brief', 'memory', 'sweep'], actions: ['status', 'brief', 'memory', 'sweep'] });
});
// API: available locales
diff --git a/test/fetch-utils.test.mjs b/test/fetch-utils.test.mjs
index 27d34ff..95aaab2 100644
--- a/test/fetch-utils.test.mjs
+++ b/test/fetch-utils.test.mjs
@@ -101,6 +101,27 @@ test('safeFetchText returns text and byte count', async () => {
}
});
+test('intelligence store defines durable memory and prediction lifecycle tables', () => {
+ const store = readFileSync(new URL('../lib/intelligence-store.mjs', import.meta.url), 'utf8');
+ assert.match(store, /CREATE TABLE IF NOT EXISTS events/);
+ assert.match(store, /stable_id TEXT NOT NULL UNIQUE/);
+ assert.match(store, /hypothesis TEXT/);
+ assert.match(store, /evidence_json TEXT/);
+ assert.match(store, /outcome_state TEXT DEFAULT 'open'/);
+ assert.match(store, /evaluatePredictions/);
+ assert.match(store, /queryMemory/);
+ assert.match(store, /listPredictions/);
+});
+
+test('server exposes memory-backed query APIs and dashboard memory action', () => {
+ const server = readFileSync(new URL('../server.mjs', import.meta.url), 'utf8');
+ const html = readFileSync(new URL('../dashboard/public/jarvis.html', import.meta.url), 'utf8');
+ assert.match(server, /\/api\/memory\/search/);
+ assert.match(server, /\/api\/memory\/predictions/);
+ assert.match(server, /action === 'memory'/);
+ assert.match(html, /runTerminalAction\('memory'\)/);
+});
+
test('terminal action endpoints avoid URL tokens and include hardening gates', () => {
const server = readFileSync(new URL('../server.mjs', import.meta.url), 'utf8');
assert.match(server, /app\.post\('\/api\/action'/);