// LLM-Powered Trade Ideas — generates actionable ideas from sweep data + delta context /** * Generate LLM-enhanced trade ideas from sweep data. * @param {LLMProvider} provider - configured LLM provider * @param {object} sweepData - synthesized dashboard data * @param {object|null} delta - delta from last sweep * @param {Array} previousIdeas - ideas from previous runs (for dedup) * @returns {Promise} - array of idea objects */ export async function generateLLMIdeas(provider, sweepData, delta, previousIdeas = []) { if (!provider?.isConfigured) return null; let context; try { context = compactSweepForLLM(sweepData, delta, previousIdeas); } catch (err) { console.error('[LLM Ideas] Failed to compact sweep data:', err.message); return null; } const systemPrompt = `You are a quantitative analyst at a macro intelligence firm. You receive structured OSINT + economic data from 25 sources and produce 5-8 actionable trade ideas. Rules: - Each idea must cite specific data points from the input - Include entry rationale, risk factors, and time horizon - Blend geopolitical, economic, and market signals — cross-correlate across domains - Be specific: name instruments (tickers, futures, ETFs), not vague sectors - If delta shows significant changes, lead with those - Do NOT repeat ideas from the "previous ideas" list unless conditions have materially changed - Rate confidence: HIGH (multiple confirming signals), MEDIUM (thesis supported), LOW (speculative) Output ONLY valid JSON array. Each object: { "title": "Short title (max 10 words)", "type": "LONG|SHORT|HEDGE|WATCH|AVOID", "ticker": "Primary instrument", "confidence": "HIGH|MEDIUM|LOW", "rationale": "2-3 sentence explanation citing specific data", "risk": "Key risk factor", "horizon": "Intraday|Days|Weeks|Months", "signals": ["signal1", "signal2"] }`; try { const result = await provider.complete(systemPrompt, context, { maxTokens: 4096, timeout: 90000 }); const ideas = parseIdeasResponse(result.text); if (ideas && ideas.length > 0) { return ideas; } console.warn('[LLM Ideas] No valid ideas parsed from response'); return null; } catch (err) { console.error('[LLM Ideas] Generation failed:', err.message); return null; } } /** * Compact sweep data to ~8KB for token efficiency. */ function compactSweepForLLM(data, delta, previousIdeas) { const sections = []; // Economic indicators if (data.fred?.length) { const key = data.fred.filter(f => ['VIXCLS', 'DFF', 'DGS10', 'DGS2', 'T10Y2Y', 'BAMLH0A0HYM2', 'DTWEXBGS', 'MORTGAGE30US'].includes(f.id)); sections.push(`ECONOMIC: ${key.map(f => `${f.id}=${f.value}${f.momChange ? ` (${f.momChange > 0 ? '+' : ''}${f.momChange})` : ''}`).join(', ')}`); } // Energy if (data.energy) { sections.push(`ENERGY: WTI=$${data.energy.wti}, Brent=$${data.energy.brent}, NatGas=$${data.energy.natgas}, CrudeStocks=${data.energy.crudeStocks}bbl`); } // Metals if (data.metals?.gold != null || data.metals?.silver != null) { const gold = data.metals?.gold != null ? `$${data.metals.gold}` : 'n/a'; const silver = data.metals?.silver != null ? `$${data.metals.silver}` : 'n/a'; const goldChg = data.metals?.goldChangePct != null ? ` (${data.metals.goldChangePct >= 0 ? '+' : ''}${data.metals.goldChangePct}%)` : ''; const silverChg = data.metals?.silverChangePct != null ? ` (${data.metals.silverChangePct >= 0 ? '+' : ''}${data.metals.silverChangePct}%)` : ''; sections.push(`METALS: Gold=${gold}${goldChg}, Silver=${silver}${silverChg}`); } // BLS if (data.bls?.length) { sections.push(`LABOR: ${data.bls.map(b => `${b.id}=${b.value}`).join(', ')}`); } // Treasury if (data.treasury) { sections.push(`TREASURY: totalDebt=$${data.treasury}T`); } // Supply chain if (data.gscpi) { sections.push(`SUPPLY_CHAIN: GSCPI=${data.gscpi.value} (${data.gscpi.interpretation})`); } // Geopolitical signals (cap total OSINT text to ~1500 chars to keep prompt compact) const urgentPosts = (data.tg?.urgent || []).slice(0, 5); if (urgentPosts.length) { const MAX_OSINT_CHARS = 1500; let remaining = MAX_OSINT_CHARS; const lines = []; for (const p of urgentPosts) { const text = p.text || ''; if (remaining <= 0) break; const trimmed = text.length > remaining ? text.substring(0, remaining) + '…' : text; lines.push(`- ${trimmed}`); remaining -= trimmed.length; } sections.push(`URGENT_OSINT:\n${lines.join('\n')}`); } // Thermal / fire detections if (data.thermal?.length) { const hotRegions = data.thermal.filter(t => t.det > 10).map(t => `${t.region}: ${t.det} detections (${t.hc} high-conf)`); if (hotRegions.length) sections.push(`THERMAL: ${hotRegions.join(', ')}`); } // Air activity if (data.air?.length) { const airSum = data.air.map(a => `${a.region}: ${a.total} aircraft`); sections.push(`AIR_ACTIVITY: ${airSum.join(', ')}`); } // Nuclear if (data.nuke?.length) { const anomalies = data.nuke.filter(n => n.anom); if (anomalies.length) sections.push(`NUCLEAR_ANOMALY: ${anomalies.map(n => `${n.site}: ${n.cpm}cpm`).join(', ')}`); } // WHO alerts if (data.who?.length) { sections.push(`WHO_ALERTS: ${data.who.slice(0, 3).map(w => w.title).join('; ')}`); } // Defense spending if (data.defense?.length) { const topContracts = data.defense.slice(0, 3).map(d => `$${((d.amount || 0) / 1e6).toFixed(0)}M to ${d.recipient}`); sections.push(`DEFENSE_CONTRACTS: ${topContracts.join(', ')}`); } // Delta context if (delta?.summary) { sections.push(`\nDELTA_SINCE_LAST_SWEEP: direction=${delta.summary.direction}, changes=${delta.summary.totalChanges}, critical=${delta.summary.criticalChanges}`); if (delta.signals?.escalated?.length) { sections.push(`ESCALATED: ${delta.signals.escalated.map(s => `${s.label}: ${s.previous}→${s.current} (${(s.changePct||0) > 0 ? '+' : ''}${(s.changePct||0).toFixed(1)}%)`).join(', ')}`); } if (delta.signals?.new?.length) { sections.push(`NEW_SIGNALS: ${delta.signals.new.map(s => s.label || s.text?.substring(0, 60)).join('; ')}`); } } // Previous ideas (for dedup) if (previousIdeas.length) { sections.push(`\nPREVIOUS_IDEAS (avoid repeating):\n${previousIdeas.map(i => `- ${i.title} [${i.type}]`).join('\n')}`); } return sections.join('\n'); } /** * Parse LLM response into ideas array. Handles markdown code blocks. */ function parseIdeasResponse(text) { if (!text) return null; // Strip markdown code block wrappers let cleaned = text.trim(); if (cleaned.startsWith('```')) { cleaned = cleaned.replace(/^```(?:json)?\n?/, '').replace(/\n?```$/, ''); } try { const parsed = JSON.parse(cleaned); if (!Array.isArray(parsed)) return null; // Validate each idea has required fields return parsed.filter(idea => idea.title && idea.type && idea.confidence ).map(idea => ({ title: idea.title, type: idea.type, ticker: idea.ticker || '', confidence: idea.confidence, rationale: idea.rationale || '', risk: idea.risk || '', horizon: idea.horizon || '', signals: idea.signals || [], source: 'llm', })); } catch { // Try to extract JSON array from mixed text const match = cleaned.match(/\[[\s\S]*\]/); if (match) { try { const arr = JSON.parse(match[0]); return arr.filter(i => i.title && i.type).map(idea => ({ ...idea, source: 'llm', })); } catch { /* give up */ } } return null; } }