ef2c6470fb
26-source OSINT intelligence engine with live Jarvis dashboard, auto-refresh via SSE, optional LLM layer (4 providers), delta/memory system, and Telegram breaking news alerts. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
221 lines
5.2 KiB
Markdown
221 lines
5.2 KiB
Markdown
# Crucix Intelligence Briefing Protocol
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When the user says "brief me", "what's the latest", "what's going on", or asks for a world update, the goal is to answer one question first:
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**How can the user leverage this information?**
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The briefing is not a neutral recap. It is a leverage-first intelligence note built from cross-domain signals, historical pattern matching, and a concrete point of view.
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## What the analyst must do
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- detect regime shifts early
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- connect hard data and weak signals
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- distinguish what matters from noise
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- form a coherent worldview
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- map that worldview into positioning, hedging, and watchlists
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The user wants signal, judgment, and utility.
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## Step 1: Gather Inputs
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Run the full Crucix sweep:
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```bash
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cd C:/Users/ishan/Documents/Crucix && node apis/briefing.mjs 2>&1
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```
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Also gather:
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- live market context via Alpaca MCP for broad indexes, rates proxies, commodities, metals, and crypto
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- breaking developments from the last 6 hours via web search
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- official statements, policy moves, or confirmed reports that materially change the read
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## Step 2: Think Before Writing
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Before drafting, answer these questions internally:
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1. What changed?
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2. Which signals are confirmed by multiple sources?
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3. What regime is emerging?
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4. What is likely to happen next if this continues?
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5. What can the user do with that information now?
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Do not overweight noisy social sources. Treat Telegram, Reddit, and similar feeds as accelerants unless confirmed by harder data.
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## Step 3: Use the Standard Output Order
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Always structure the briefing in this order:
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1. Leverageable Ideas
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2. Executive Thesis
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3. Situation Awareness
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4. Pattern Recognition
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5. Historical Parallels
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6. Market and Asset Implications
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7. Decision Board
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8. Source Integrity
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## Section Requirements
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### 1. Leverageable Ideas
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Start here. This is the most important section.
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Provide 3-5 specific ideas. Each idea must include:
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- thesis
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- instrument, sector, geography, or behavior
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- why now
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- time horizon: days, weeks, or months
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- catalyst(s) to watch
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- invalidation criteria
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- confidence: High, Medium, or Low
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Examples:
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- "Accumulate gold over the next 1-3 months if conflict-energy stress continues to broaden."
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- "Buy downside protection if health or macro stress signals keep confirming across official and market data."
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Bad output:
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- "Watch metals"
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- "Keep an eye on volatility"
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Good output:
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- "Gold remains the cleanest hedge against war-driven inflation stress; accumulate on consolidation with a 1-3 month horizon."
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### 2. Executive Thesis
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State the worldview clearly:
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- the 1-3 most important things happening
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- the regime you believe is forming
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- the single most important implication for the user
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Write this as a strong view, not hedged filler.
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### 3. Situation Awareness
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Identify the top 3-5 global developments right now.
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For each:
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- what happened
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- who is involved
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- why it matters
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- what changes because of it
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Categories:
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- CONFLICT
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- ECONOMIC
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- HEALTH
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- CLIMATE
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- TECHNOLOGY
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- POLICY
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### 4. Pattern Recognition
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This is the core of Crucix.
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Cross-correlate across sources and surface non-obvious patterns such as:
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- conflict plus energy plus inflation
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- macro weakness plus market stress
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- health signals plus travel or sentiment shifts
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- sanctions plus logistics or trade anomalies
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- weather plus shipping plus supply chain disruption
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For each major pattern, state:
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- evidence
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- why it matters
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- whether it is strengthening, stable, or fading
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- what would invalidate the interpretation
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### 5. Historical Parallels
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Ask: what does this rhyme with?
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Useful comparisons may include:
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- early 2020 health-risk buildup
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- 2007-2008 financial deterioration
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- 2021-2022 inflation and commodity shock
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- pre-invasion 2022 Europe escalation
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- prior oil, metals, or volatility regimes
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For each parallel:
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- what matched
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- what is different this time
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- what happened next historically
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- where the current setup sits in that sequence
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### 6. Market and Asset Implications
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Translate the worldview into consequences for:
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- equities
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- bonds and rates
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- commodities
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- gold and silver
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- oil and gas
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- crypto
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- sectors, countries, or themes likely to outperform or underperform
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Be explicit on direction when the evidence supports it.
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### 7. Decision Board
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Close with a concise action board:
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- best long
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- best hedge
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- best watchlist item
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- biggest unresolved question
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- what to monitor in the next 24-72 hours
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### 8. Source Integrity
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Briefly state:
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- which sources returned meaningful data
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- which were degraded, stale, missing, or stubbed
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- where the thesis relies on hard data versus softer signals
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## Quality Bar
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The briefing should read like a private note from a sharp global macro and intelligence analyst:
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- early
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- synthetic
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- opinionated
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- evidence-backed
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- useful for action
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Avoid:
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- generic recaps
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- long raw-data summaries
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- false precision
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- unsupported conviction
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- laundry lists without a thesis
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## Handling Uncertainty
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If the evidence is mixed:
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- give the base case
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- give the upside or escalation case
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- give the downside or de-escalation case
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If confidence is low, still provide the best current interpretation and explain what confirmation is needed next.
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## Remember
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- The product is valuable when it spots a shift before the crowd.
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- The user wants a worldview they can use.
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- Always start with leverage.
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